@Manislandguy

#200,55090

0x30528a263072ee7a8d1a5a6b12b8e9ed02b5d389

~69d· 175 markets · 281 tradesVol: $66,7942026-08-05 01:19:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

82% (144/175)20/20
2.62x (win $233 / loss $89)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.89615/15
Sortino 28.43610/10
$+0.0025 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 186 (175 markets)10/10
65/69 profitable days (94%)10/10
Max DD 6% of peak ($8 / $144)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 82%
Profitable
PnL $+145
Whale
$58,561 invested
Consistent
65/69 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 6%
Win Streak
17 wins in a row

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#102,669$87Vol: $65,395
🏛️ POLITICS#124,732$24Vol: $920
⚽ SPORTS#186,284$37Vol: $455
💰 FINANCE#166,505$0Vol: $10
📈 ECONOMICS#160,202$0Vol: $7
🎭 CULTURE#609,473$-3Vol: $5
📢 MENTIONS#85,741$-1Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$145
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$66,794
Total Redeem
$2,542
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
175
total markets
Trades
187B / 94S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~69d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$145
Vol: $66,794

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
82%
144W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$145
Win Rate
82%
144W / 31L
Profit Factor
2.62x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34 (0.23404108167923093% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$16
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?$10
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal end in a draw?$8
Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw?$7
Will Como vs. Cagliari end in a draw?$7
Will Juventus vs. Torino end in a draw?$6
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$6
Will Parma vs. AC Milan end in a draw?$6
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18?$6
Will Crystal Palace vs. Brighton end in a draw?$5

Top Losers

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 15?$-10
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-18?$-7
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?$-5
Wizards vs. Mavericks$-4
Dolphins vs. Falcons$-4
Pistons vs. Rockets$-4
Nets vs. Celtics$-3
Will MrBeast's trap video get between 60 and 65 million views on week 1?$-3
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?$-3
Maple Leafs vs. Bruins$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.462
Sortino
0.985
HHI
190
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
14.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
13.1m
between trades
Night Trading
69%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastCV 1.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)69% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.62
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.6%
Mid (20-55c)16.6%
High (>55c)81.8%

Sessions

#12
12/31/2025, 4:19:53 AM1 trades$1,6980 min
12/28/2025, 5:44:57 AM1 trades$1,6970 min
12/25/2025, 7:46:27 AM1 trades$1,6950 min
12/22/2025, 5:30:04 AM1 trades$1,6930 min
12/19/2025, 4:59:43 AM1 trades$1,6920 min
12/13/2025, 4:28:13 AM1 trades$1,6900 min
12/10/2025, 5:10:03 AM1 trades$1,6880 min
12/7/2025, 8:23:07 AM1 trades$1,6860 min
11/2/2025, 11:23:13 AM6 trades$1,6861 min
12/4/2025, 6:19:39 AM2 trades$1,6851 min
11/30/2025, 3:33:17 AM1 trades$1,6830 min
11/19/2025, 4:26:53 AM8 trades$1,6814 min
11/27/2025, 5:06:27 AM6 trades$1,6784 min
10/30/2025, 5:05:37 AM1 trades$1,6760 min
11/24/2025, 3:55:31 AM1 trades$1,6750 min
11/11/2025, 6:21:08 AM18 trades$1,6727 min
11/16/2025, 3:34:38 AM1 trades$1,6680 min
11/21/2025, 3:49:23 AM12 trades$1,6612 min
11/5/2025, 4:06:41 AM1 trades$1,6490 min
10/15/2025, 4:24:03 AM2 trades$1,6441 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-15
11-16
12-22
01-25
03-01
04-26
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.6 / M16.6 / H81.8