@ManuelCX

#3,050,65535

0x99ff7527cffade17857e0f13203ea08461adf3e6

~136d· 8246 markets · 36383 tradesVol: $780,9072026-08-04 18:12:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (6544/8246)20/20
0.47x (win $14,383 / loss $30,352)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.0310/15
Sortino -5.7860/10
$-0.0595 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6 (8246 markets)10/10
68/133 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 42126% of peak ($16,193 / $38)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Whale
$268,386 invested
Win Streak
29 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#1,671,132$-6,173Vol: $658,461
🌤️ WEATHER#295,689$-545Vol: $120,217
⚽ SPORTS#1,551,435$-37Vol: $2,181
🎭 CULTURE#577,757$-2Vol: $38
🏛️ POLITICS#458,983$0Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,757
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$780,907
Total Redeem
$53,358
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8246
total markets
Trades
23943B / 12440S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~136d

Periods

#2
Today
$-266
Vol: $14,323
Week
$-233
Vol: $39,741
Month
$-225
Vol: $41,417
All Time
$-6,757
Vol: $780,907

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
6545W / 1701L events
Realized PnL
$-6,601
Win Rate
79%
6545W / 1701L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-19

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $127 (0.019214483202666364% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$127

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$-1,063
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$-527
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?$-521
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$-348
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$-348
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$-338
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$-318
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 8?$-314
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$-270
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$-263

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.315
Sortino
-0.242
HHI
6
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.059
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
73.9
Very active
Markets / Day
16.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
54s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.0m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
18 min
Avg Trades / Session
51.8

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 54s — normal for humanCV 2.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock74 trades/day — mass trading17 markets/day — mass coverage42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.42
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.6%
Mid (20-55c)12.6%
High (>55c)72.8%

Sessions

#12
5/11/2026, 2:02:49 AM134 trades$1,95112 min
5/14/2026, 8:37:37 PM43 trades$1,6922 min
7/27/2026, 7:39:33 PM22 trades$1,4310 min
5/6/2026, 12:43:14 PM112 trades$1,41946 min
5/11/2026, 7:13:22 PM80 trades$1,32713 min
5/12/2026, 1:33:00 AM116 trades$1,22330 min
5/11/2026, 2:37:46 AM139 trades$1,21618 min
5/14/2026, 1:34:59 AM60 trades$1,21025 min
5/12/2026, 12:13:49 AM83 trades$1,17426 min
5/14/2026, 7:19:24 PM35 trades$1,1605 min
5/11/2026, 6:56:57 PM52 trades$1,13411 min
4/27/2026, 3:58:36 PM53 trades$1,02726 min
3/13/2026, 4:32:37 PM103 trades$1,013103 min
5/6/2026, 7:58:51 PM75 trades$9936 min
3/19/2026, 5:14:49 PM17 trades$94924 min
7/29/2026, 1:29:47 AM4 trades$9100 min
5/12/2026, 1:21:48 AM25 trades$8952 min
5/1/2026, 8:29:28 PM38 trades$87924 min
5/14/2026, 11:42:50 PM30 trades$8755 min
3/20/2026, 10:29:59 AM18 trades$86525 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-11
03-07
03-29
05-11
06-17
07-12
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 146 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.42/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.6 / M12.6 / H72.8