@MarcTwixxx

#2,672,72838

0x9bb70f68ea6f94036e110cbc7f3a3cd32fb245de

~29d· 23 markets · 35 tradesVol: $16,9882026-08-04 18:54:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (11/16)19.4/20
0.96x (win $3,829 / loss $3,992)2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2940/15
Sortino -0.4140/10
$-0.0174 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1024 (16 markets)7.4/10
11/16 profitable days (69%)9.7/10
Max DD 528% of peak ($3,992 / $756)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Diamond Hands
3% sells
Consistent
11/16 profitable days
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders

Categories

4
₿ CRYPTO#1,622,108$-1,048Vol: $11,480
⚽ SPORTS#41,173$879Vol: $5,188
🏛️ POLITICS#270,969$2Vol: $220
📈 ECONOMICS#205,388$0Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-166
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,988
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
34B / 1S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-166
Vol: $16,988

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
11W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-166
Win Rate
69%
11W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$348
Avg Loss
$-798

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,064 (18.423426131922312% of PnL)

Top Winners

Royals vs. Cubs$1,197
XRP Up or Down on July 18?$945
Solana Up or Down on July 12?$922
XRP Up or Down on June 25?$429
Warriors vs. Timberwolves$327
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$4
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?$2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$1
Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$0

Top Losers

Dogecoin Up or Down on July 10?$-1,185
Solana Up or Down on July 5?$-950
Ethereum Up or Down on July 2?$-792
Guardians vs. Astros$-646
Ethereum Up or Down on June 28?$-419

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.015
Sortino
-0.035
HHI
973
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.018
Kelly %
26.9%
Half-Kelly
13.5%
Top-1 market
15.9%
Top-5 markets
58.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.2h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
31
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 29076s — normal for humanCV 1.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.56
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)32.4%
High (>55c)67.6%

Sessions

#12
5/7/2025, 7:14:16 AM1 trades$1,4900 min
7/9/2025, 8:42:20 AM2 trades$1,1850 min
7/4/2025, 4:26:45 AM1 trades$9500 min
7/17/2025, 11:50:10 AM2 trades$9450 min
7/11/2025, 1:40:44 AM2 trades$9220 min
7/21/2025, 1:58:02 PM1 trades$9030 min
6/30/2025, 12:04:38 PM1 trades$7920 min
7/7/2025, 2:46:35 AM1 trades$6460 min
6/24/2025, 1:12:45 PM1 trades$4290 min
6/26/2025, 8:44:17 AM1 trades$4190 min
6/8/2026, 5:04:33 PM1 trades$500 min
5/19/2026, 4:41:59 PM1 trades$500 min
6/5/2026, 1:46:57 PM1 trades$490 min
6/10/2026, 10:59:00 AM1 trades$490 min
5/25/2026, 11:47:14 AM2 trades$490 min
7/28/2026, 12:24:14 PM1 trades$490 min
5/30/2026, 11:50:34 PM1 trades$490 min
6/19/2026, 11:39:20 PM1 trades$480 min
6/11/2026, 7:20:06 PM1 trades$480 min
6/6/2026, 3:06:25 AM1 trades$480 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-07
06-26
07-04
07-09
07-17
03-07
05-25
06-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M32.4 / H67.6