Marco-Rubio

@Marco-Rubio

#2,47589

0xd67ba35aef659c872377a5ac2becb7ada7f85780

~213d· 866 markets · 18464 tradesVol: $5,737,7352026-08-03 17:38:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (498/807)15.9/20
1.91x (win $338,205 / loss $176,642)13.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.38115/15
Sortino 7.96610/10
$+0.1003 per $1 invested5/10
HHI 67 (807 markets)10/10
120/176 profitable days (68%)9.5/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($32,599 / $194,162)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+75,825
DCA Master
Avg 20.9 entries/market
Whale
$1,610,625 invested
Consistent
120/176 profitable days
High Roller
$6,010/day
Cool Head
Max DD 17%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#611$81,085Vol: $4,981,824
SPORTS#1,872,895$-5,959Vol: $311,466
📈 ECONOMICS#3,685$751Vol: $160,183
CRYPTO#48,654$381Vol: $114,187
🎭 CULTURE#809,144$-627Vol: $78,403
📢 MENTIONS#12,003$30Vol: $13,299
💻 TECH#11,117$29Vol: $13,075
🌤️ WEATHER#32,625$4Vol: $170

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$75,769
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,737,735
Total Redeem
$15,389
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
866
total markets
Trades
9373B / 9091S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~213d

Periods

#2
Today
$-31
Vol: $20
Week
$-31
Vol: $12,867
Month
$2,604
Vol: $20,330
All Time
$75,769
Vol: $5,737,735

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
498W / 309L events
Realized PnL
$75,825
Win Rate
62%
498W / 309L
Profit Factor
1.91x
Avg Win
$679
Avg Loss
$-599

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $53,297 (0.7028935840785286% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$18,774
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$18,159
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$16,364
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$15,562
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$12,163
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$10,589
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$9,161
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$7,716
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$6,913
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$6,719

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-14,826
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-10,350
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-10,275
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-8,426
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$-6,773
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$-6,676
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-6,234
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$-5,616
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-4,618
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$-4,118

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.176
Sortino
0.274
HHI
62
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.111
Kelly %
6.3%
Half-Kelly
3.1%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
9.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
68.9
Very active
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.2m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
38.6

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 123s — normal for humanCV 2.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock69 trades/day — mass trading3.2 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.86
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24%
Mid (20-55c)20.2%
High (>55c)55.8%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:33:01 PM202 trades$47,64927 min
6/13/2026, 2:13:03 PM67 trades$28,1817 min
6/7/2026, 8:02:36 PM77 trades$23,25820 min
6/14/2026, 9:08:16 PM51 trades$21,05717 min
4/7/2026, 8:58:01 PM9 trades$19,5491 min
5/24/2026, 2:42:37 PM78 trades$18,99412 min
7/31/2026, 9:15:20 PM33 trades$15,3509 min
4/17/2026, 3:57:46 PM69 trades$14,33632 min
7/31/2026, 8:55:20 PM32 trades$13,7202 min
7/13/2026, 2:16:50 PM33 trades$13,5697 min
3/25/2026, 5:42:11 PM18 trades$12,3765 min
7/20/2026, 4:06:25 PM37 trades$12,2353 min
5/3/2026, 3:09:10 PM24 trades$11,79120 min
4/8/2026, 5:38:39 PM68 trades$11,16414 min
2/28/2026, 1:36:09 PM19 trades$10,44319 min
4/21/2026, 7:57:56 PM30 trades$10,4206 min
7/18/2026, 7:44:48 PM5 trades$10,0000 min
6/17/2026, 5:29:41 PM51 trades$9,93412 min
3/13/2026, 10:54:49 PM10 trades$9,7377 min
4/7/2026, 9:16:29 PM52 trades$9,4507 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-10
02-04
03-05
04-03
05-16
06-25
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.86/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24 / M20.2 / H55.8