@MarcusAureliusII

#2,935,36115

0x5ebccbcbd7ee24e54f02c3f95839a9ce4ffdd01b

~11d· 21 markets · 53 tradesVol: $19,8762026-08-04 21:58:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (6/17)2.6/20
0.69x (win $995 / loss $1,440)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2190/15
Sortino -3.9440/10
$-0.1142 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1095 (17 markets)7/10
4/8 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,008 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,617,416$-1,149Vol: $12,475
₿ CRYPTO#84,630$115Vol: $2,525
💰 FINANCE#46,012$15Vol: $2,210
⚽ SPORTS#1,454,176$-19Vol: $1,890
🎭 CULTURE#57,881$14Vol: $714
📈 ECONOMICS#646,744$-48Vol: $61

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,071
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,876
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
34B / 19S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,071
Vol: $19,876

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
6W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-1,071
Win Rate
35%
6W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$166
Avg Loss
$-131

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $977 (0.91248984773943% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$562
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 16-22?$367
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 26?$49
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?$9
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$8
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0

Top Losers

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$-500
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$-200
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$-150
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$-150
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$-100
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-100
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26?$-50
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$-50
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$-50
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.158
Sortino
-0.171
HHI
393
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.182
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.8%
Top-5 markets
37.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.4m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 110s — normal for humanCV 1.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern7/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.18
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.4%
Mid (20-55c)23.5%
High (>55c)44.1%

Sessions

#12
7/13/2026, 3:25:07 PM10 trades$1,5721 min
2/26/2026, 12:43:02 PM8 trades$5509 min
1/23/2026, 11:12:20 AM3 trades$4904 min
2/28/2026, 10:42:35 AM1 trades$4000 min
2/22/2026, 10:13:40 AM2 trades$3000 min
1/23/2026, 11:22:12 AM1 trades$2500 min
2/22/2026, 10:26:28 AM5 trades$2508 min
3/4/2026, 8:18:23 AM3 trades$2153 min
2/26/2026, 12:57:38 PM3 trades$2002 min
2/27/2026, 8:49:45 AM1 trades$2000 min
6/24/2026, 7:00:32 PM5 trades$1991 min
6/15/2026, 8:58:46 AM4 trades$1280 min
7/9/2026, 10:39:02 AM2 trades$1200 min
2/27/2026, 8:56:33 AM1 trades$590 min
2/28/2026, 10:54:05 AM1 trades$500 min
3/1/2026, 4:00:29 PM1 trades$330 min
6/15/2026, 8:37:55 AM2 trades$310 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-23
02-22
02-26
02-27
02-28
06-24
07-09
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L32.4 / M23.5 / H44.1