@Mardems

#2,855,23715

0x51f0d8d8798c6d57d8c60af767000ab3df5804e9

~34d· 99 markets · 391 tradesVol: $15,5232026-08-05 16:40:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (30/75)5/20
0.71x (win $671 / loss $945)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5210/15
Sortino -3.9150/10
$-0.1126 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 557 (75 markets)9.7/10
6/22 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($421 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#1,583,030$-47Vol: $4,781
🏛️ POLITICS#1,255,948$-9Vol: $2,871
💰 FINANCE#641,488$-187Vol: $2,458
₿ CRYPTO#1,421,202$-65Vol: $2,282
📈 ECONOMICS#643,369$-40Vol: $927
🌤️ WEATHER#261,306$-20Vol: $753
🎭 CULTURE#77,249$8Vol: $266

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-516
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,523
Total Redeem
$15
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
99
total markets
Trades
172B / 219S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-516
Vol: $15,523

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
30W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$-511
Win Rate
40%
30W / 45L
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $485 (0.9495283572742573% of PnL)

Top Winners

O/U 0.5 Rounds$321
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$118
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$46
Will USD/KRW hit 1550 (High) in 2026?$29
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)$24
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$17
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$16
76ers vs. Heat$12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$9
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$9

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?$-120
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-112
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$-102
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?$-70
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-67
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$-50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$-42
Will the fight be won by submission?$-38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-35

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.129
Sortino
-0.223
HHI
235
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.156
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.7%
Top-5 markets
30%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 158s — normal for humanCV 1.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.89
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.6%
Mid (20-55c)32.6%
High (>55c)30.8%

Sessions

#12
7/9/2026, 5:03:38 PM56 trades$69114 min
4/1/2026, 5:07:23 PM46 trades$6621 min
4/1/2026, 1:47:19 PM18 trades$4205 min
4/4/2026, 11:37:11 AM4 trades$4160 min
7/12/2026, 3:25:20 AM12 trades$4145 min
4/2/2026, 2:20:23 AM6 trades$2983 min
5/11/2026, 11:48:42 PM2 trades$2840 min
4/2/2026, 1:37:57 AM37 trades$26416 min
7/31/2026, 4:00:15 AM12 trades$2644 min
5/22/2026, 7:16:00 PM4 trades$2625 min
3/27/2026, 6:38:41 PM1 trades$2280 min
4/2/2026, 2:06:19 AM4 trades$1352 min
3/30/2026, 8:38:39 PM2 trades$1300 min
3/27/2026, 2:28:31 AM1 trades$1060 min
6/12/2026, 4:58:39 PM3 trades$950 min
4/29/2026, 4:40:02 AM4 trades$910 min
4/2/2026, 9:51:07 PM6 trades$833 min
3/29/2026, 9:46:08 PM4 trades$818 min
3/29/2026, 3:29:00 AM4 trades$795 min
4/1/2026, 5:14:13 PM7 trades$772 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-22
03-28
03-31
04-03
04-15
04-29
05-31
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.89/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L36.6 / M32.6 / H30.8