@MarginSafety
#17,155170xdbf08158da8516f5b9535ce60ae00b702ea8ff09
~32d· 161 markets · 4757 tradesVol: $538,1902026-08-04 18:54:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
25% (41/161)0/20
0.93x (win $18,888 / loss $20,262)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1220/15
Sortino -1.3950/10
$-0.0270 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 232 (161 markets)10/10
16/30 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 221% of peak ($2,971 / $1,344)0/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+8,296
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20
Whale
$50,827 invested
High Roller
$1,271/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4🌤️ WEATHER#632$3,156Vol: $313,818
⚽ SPORTS#9,910$4,645Vol: $208,050
₿ CRYPTO#41,909$536Vol: $13,440
💰 FINANCE#613,309$-40Vol: $2,882
Overview
#1Net PnL
$8,296
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$538,190
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
161
total markets
Trades
2535B / 2222S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
25%
41W / 120L events
Realized PnL
$8,296
Win Rate
25%
41W / 120L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$461
Avg Loss
$-178
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,236 (0.7516139530398727% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?$3,253
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 27?$1,502
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?$1,481
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?$1,311
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?$1,278
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?$838
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?$725
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$672
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?$660
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$596
Top Losers
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,830
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?$-1,260
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,194
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 8?$-840
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?$-830
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 8?$-719
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?$-701
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-545
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 7?$-488
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 8?$-479
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.058
Sortino
-0.059
HHI
230
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
23%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
118.9
Very active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.4m
between trades
Night Trading
62%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.2
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 97s — normal for humanCV 3.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)62% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock119 trades/day — automation4.0 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 4:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
29.71
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)37.6%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)29.1%
Sessions
#127/7/2026, 12:53:23 PM41 trades$11,6772 min
7/11/2026, 8:16:44 AM2 trades$5,1450 min
6/11/2026, 8:17:13 AM3 trades$2,5000 min
7/8/2026, 12:13:43 AM8 trades$2,1543 min
7/11/2026, 8:24:14 AM4 trades$1,8620 min
6/19/2026, 2:14:05 AM28 trades$1,63311 min
7/7/2026, 6:22:41 PM26 trades$1,5831 min
6/12/2026, 7:43:40 PM17 trades$1,5363 min
6/15/2026, 5:31:01 AM5 trades$1,4910 min
7/7/2026, 7:02:35 AM2 trades$1,4761 min
7/8/2026, 12:03:02 AM11 trades$1,4212 min
6/14/2026, 6:57:30 AM3 trades$1,4210 min
6/20/2026, 3:59:20 AM8 trades$1,3589 min
6/8/2026, 2:18:36 AM5 trades$1,3405 min
6/18/2026, 4:08:47 PM34 trades$1,31813 min
6/12/2026, 4:35:16 PM10 trades$1,2535 min
6/14/2026, 3:13:13 AM4 trades$1,2080 min
6/20/2026, 4:42:56 AM21 trades$1,17716 min
6/11/2026, 3:51:31 PM14 trades$1,1580 min
6/8/2026, 6:38:27 AM43 trades$1,14116 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-05
06-10
06-15
06-20
06-26
07-08
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
84% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.71/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.6 / M33.3 / H29.1