@Margotd22

#2,270,83540

0x57a330c653c1aaf3b505e8120f741d7dc3ccf6c6

~68d· 80 markets · 176 tradesVol: $2,1072026-08-04 19:18:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

95% (76/80)20/20
0.43x (win $29 / loss $68)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2140/15
Sortino -2.2130/10
$-0.0306 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 167 (80 markets)10/10
50/54 profitable days (93%)10/10
Max DD 717% of peak ($57 / $8)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 95%
Consistent
50/54 profitable days
Win Streak
46 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#682,352$-9Vol: $694
🌤️ WEATHER#24,732$8Vol: $592
🏛️ POLITICS#1,373,871$-20Vol: $393
💻 TECH#55,825$1Vol: $105
📢 MENTIONS#40,341$1Vol: $92
₿ CRYPTO#595,599$0Vol: $88
📈 ECONOMICS#115,300$1Vol: $60
💰 FINANCE#596,762$-20Vol: $43

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-38
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,107
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
80
total markets
Trades
92B / 84S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-38
Vol: $2,107

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
95%
76W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-38
Win Rate
95%
76W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4 (0.10466348701642819% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$1
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$1
Will Keir Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1
Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?$1
Will MrBeast's video get between 68 and 70 million views on day 3?$1
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 19?$1
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get less than 30 million views on day 1?$1
Will Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$1
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on February 24?$1
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 20?$1

Top Losers

ChatGPT Outage by April 3?$-41
Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 5?$-18
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.115
Sortino
-0.044
HHI
184
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
17.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.7h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.48
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22760s — normal for humanCV 0.48 — uniform order sizes32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.2
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)98.9%

Sessions

#12
3/9/2026, 12:00:19 AM6 trades$580 min
3/16/2026, 12:00:39 PM3 trades$490 min
6/25/2026, 1:20:59 PM4 trades$480 min
5/5/2026, 12:48:14 AM2 trades$480 min
5/29/2026, 3:11:04 PM2 trades$450 min
3/16/2026, 3:38:01 AM4 trades$420 min
5/1/2026, 6:09:36 AM2 trades$400 min
6/11/2026, 1:50:21 PM2 trades$400 min
4/29/2026, 1:11:50 PM2 trades$400 min
6/15/2026, 10:42:42 AM2 trades$350 min
6/8/2026, 6:16:52 PM2 trades$340 min
6/7/2026, 7:37:16 AM2 trades$330 min
6/1/2026, 6:33:05 AM2 trades$320 min
5/19/2026, 3:09:32 AM2 trades$300 min
6/19/2026, 11:09:35 PM2 trades$300 min
3/10/2026, 6:54:19 PM3 trades$300 min
4/1/2026, 4:38:25 AM2 trades$250 min
3/29/2026, 8:10:02 AM1 trades$250 min
3/29/2026, 12:54:52 AM1 trades$240 min
3/30/2026, 7:38:30 AM1 trades$240 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-09
02-19
03-01
03-19
04-29
06-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
24% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.1 / M0 / H98.9