MarketMaster1

@MarketMaster1

#2,720,6677

0xbef8df7324b3f3d7231453f59de8ce119166bdca

~17d· 27 markets · 109 tradesVol: $23,5022026-08-04 21:13:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (9/27)1.7/20
0.59x (win $467 / loss $795)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7850/15
Sortino -4.3940/10
$-0.3351 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4772 (27 markets)0/10
8/16 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 476360% of peak ($476 / $0)0/10

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#121,177$101Vol: $13,456
₿ CRYPTO#129,335$49Vol: $7,868
🏛️ POLITICS#1,586,624$-359Vol: $1,735
🎭 CULTURE#562,877$-2Vol: $443

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-211
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,502
Total Redeem
$116
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
54B / 55S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
9W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-211
Win Rate
33%
9W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$52
Avg Loss
$-53

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $407 (1.9233571462364574% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?$230
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$120
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?$57
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$37
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Algeria?$12
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$9
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0

Top Losers

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?$-200
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?$-120
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$-120
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?$-100
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$-80
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$-42
Austria to score first vs. Argentina?$-20
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Austria?$-20
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Austria?$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.192
Sortino
-0.203
HHI
1266
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.282
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.4%
Top-5 markets
67.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 792s — normal for humanCV 1.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.11
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.2%
Mid (20-55c)22.2%
High (>55c)55.6%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 6:59:01 PM4 trades$10,0673 min
6/22/2026, 3:30:26 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/16/2026, 6:50:17 PM7 trades$2221 min
6/20/2026, 9:51:46 PM4 trades$2042 min
5/16/2026, 9:29:06 PM3 trades$1450 min
6/22/2026, 4:53:23 PM6 trades$1256 min
5/16/2026, 10:34:02 PM4 trades$1070 min
5/16/2026, 10:58:42 PM2 trades$1030 min
3/8/2026, 8:44:05 AM1 trades$1000 min
3/8/2026, 11:41:11 AM1 trades$1000 min
4/5/2026, 5:18:39 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/7/2026, 7:28:09 PM6 trades$895 min
7/8/2026, 8:17:01 PM2 trades$880 min
6/13/2026, 10:06:36 PM2 trades$560 min
7/6/2026, 9:17:11 PM2 trades$560 min
6/13/2026, 10:55:16 PM2 trades$560 min
3/8/2026, 11:06:15 AM1 trades$500 min
3/8/2026, 12:08:23 PM1 trades$500 min
6/7/2026, 9:00:24 PM6 trades$472 min
7/6/2026, 10:21:05 PM4 trades$442 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-04
03-27
05-16
06-09
06-14
06-20
06-23
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 101 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.2 / M22.2 / H55.6