Mathews.seaman

@Mathews.seaman

#288,03539

0xcafad41bc4363993dec3aedbae9cec5c0dcf266a

~10d· 18 markets · 126 tradesVol: $4,3322026-08-04 20:39:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

89% (16/18)20/20
0.72x (win $556 / loss $771)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3010/15
Sortino -2.4860/10
$-0.0580 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 751 (18 markets)8.7/10
7/9 profitable days (78%)10/10
Max DD 168% of peak ($646 / $384)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 89%
Profitable
PnL $+64
DCA Master
Avg 7.0 entries/market
Consistent
7/9 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

1
🎭 CULTURE#26,908$64Vol: $4,332

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$64
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,332
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
26B / 100S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
89%
16W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$64
Win Rate
89%
16W / 2L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-385

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $198 (3.116732128829537% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?$74
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 23, 2026?$74
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 24, 2026?$50
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 29, 2026?$47
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 19, 2026?$47
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?$45
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?$43
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?$38
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 17, 2026?$25
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 22, 2026?$20

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 25, 2026?$-435
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 20, 2026?$-336

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.114
Sortino
-0.339
HHI
693
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.058
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.2%
Top-5 markets
47.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
11
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 0.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
7/17/2026, 2:15:34 AM30 trades$1,2781 min
7/22/2026, 10:21:46 AM12 trades$8521 min
5/5/2026, 10:11:02 PM16 trades$6307 min
5/15/2026, 3:42:07 PM8 trades$4530 min
7/19/2026, 9:17:01 PM10 trades$3391 min
7/28/2026, 5:59:02 PM8 trades$3240 min
5/13/2026, 9:14:37 PM6 trades$3070 min
7/25/2026, 11:25:54 PM10 trades$2720 min
5/15/2026, 3:35:39 PM7 trades$2470 min
5/9/2026, 8:20:25 PM11 trades$2061 min
7/21/2026, 5:05:48 AM8 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-05
05-09
05-15
07-17
07-19
07-21
07-22
07-25
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
79.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100