Medium.poly

@Medium.poly

#151,81340

0xe56be877e20b1665041aaca93e8d8c385ad2c654

~51d· 69 markets · 332 tradesVol: $80,856 @Pupkinya22026-08-04 17:21:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (52/69)20/20
0.69x (win $355 / loss $518)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1560/15
Sortino -1.1900/10
$-0.0040 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 369 (69 markets)10/10
30/42 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 179% of peak ($413 / $230)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 75%
Profitable
PnL $+274
Consistent
30/42 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#12,793$230Vol: $62,032
SPORTS#1,355,686$-10Vol: $5,366
🌤️ WEATHER#100,768$0Vol: $4,497
💻 TECH#12,257$23Vol: $4,200
CRYPTO#170,310$24Vol: $2,472
🏛️ POLITICS#341,613$1Vol: $603
💰 FINANCE#262,425$0Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$274
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$80,856
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
69
total markets
Trades
202B / 130S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~51d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $591
All Time
$274
Vol: $80,856

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
52W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$274
Win Rate
75%
52W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-40

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $113 (0.4114260730161044% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$78
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$20
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?$15
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$15
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 45 million views on day 3?$14
Will MrBeast's video get 75 million or more views on day 4?$14
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$14
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$10

Top Losers

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-399
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$-42
Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1?$-34
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-21
Supercopa Final: Real Madrid vs. Barcelona$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$-2
Will MrBeast hit 119.5 billion views by April 30?$-2
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 27-Jan 3?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.060
Sortino
-0.032
HHI
364
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.7%
Top-5 markets
29.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 910s — normal for humanCV 1.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.99
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.5%
Mid (20-55c)5.4%
High (>55c)90.1%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 3:45:22 PM2 trades$3,0090 min
5/6/2026, 2:59:41 PM3 trades$2,4740 min
7/26/2026, 9:24:57 AM20 trades$2,4349 min
4/30/2026, 5:52:30 PM2 trades$2,0500 min
4/30/2026, 9:41:00 AM4 trades$2,0423 min
5/5/2026, 7:51:22 AM2 trades$2,0120 min
6/17/2026, 12:09:59 AM1 trades$1,8600 min
6/14/2026, 1:25:55 PM1 trades$1,5530 min
5/17/2026, 4:37:10 PM6 trades$1,5269 min
5/23/2026, 7:55:02 AM8 trades$1,3925 min
6/14/2026, 12:40:39 PM2 trades$1,3500 min
6/18/2026, 1:49:25 PM11 trades$1,3461 min
4/30/2026, 2:13:54 PM1 trades$1,0260 min
5/4/2026, 11:12:18 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
6/13/2026, 11:16:49 PM1 trades$9990 min
6/17/2026, 4:16:28 PM1 trades$9990 min
6/13/2026, 7:27:10 PM1 trades$9950 min
5/16/2026, 4:21:04 AM1 trades$9930 min
5/17/2026, 4:52:32 PM4 trades$7981 min
5/5/2026, 10:08:10 PM1 trades$6820 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-30
04-30
05-09
05-30
06-15
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.99/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.5 / M5.4 / H90.1