@Mikele

#3,042,0529

0x255228f222cff4dd60acfaf391941b59770d73d2

~60d· 32 markets · 893 tradesVol: $127,2942026-08-04 16:19:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

10% (3/29)0/20
0.07x (win $664 / loss $9,545)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.0040/15
Sortino -8.9160/10
$-0.7140 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 753 (29 markets)8.7/10
3/24 profitable days (12%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($8,881 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
89% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
10% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders

Categories

4
💰 FINANCE#658,415$-2,344Vol: $77,810
🏛️ POLITICS#1,621,223$-1,478Vol: $30,480
📈 ECONOMICS#675,228$-463Vol: $10,900
💻 TECH#256,638$-660Vol: $8,105

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,946
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$127,294
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
806B / 87S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~60d

Periods

#2
Today
$-38
Vol: $0
Week
$-39
Vol: $0
Month
$-38
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4,946
Vol: $127,294

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
10%
3W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-4,946
Win Rate
10%
3W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.07x
Avg Win
$221
Avg Loss
$-367

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $664 (0.13427038873916042% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$312
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$285
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$67

Top Losers

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$-2,681
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-1,068
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$-642
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-608
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-540
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?$-501
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-420
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-407
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?$-387
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$-341

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.513
Sortino
-0.505
HHI
838
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.742
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.6%
Top-5 markets
51.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 234s — normal for humanCV 4.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.28
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)88.8%
Mid (20-55c)4.3%
High (>55c)6.8%

Sessions

#12
2/28/2026, 7:45:35 AM7 trades$2,1503 min
4/23/2026, 6:03:26 PM30 trades$1,3390 min
4/27/2026, 9:58:00 AM26 trades$1,25911 min
2/28/2026, 8:01:29 AM2 trades$1,0561 min
4/21/2026, 8:31:44 AM5 trades$1,0130 min
4/17/2026, 5:34:00 AM5 trades$9641 min
5/18/2026, 6:37:54 PM4 trades$8000 min
11/25/2025, 11:10:39 AM1 trades$7950 min
11/18/2025, 3:21:55 PM1 trades$7810 min
11/18/2025, 3:27:57 PM2 trades$7742 min
6/9/2026, 7:47:33 PM2 trades$6840 min
4/23/2026, 5:57:38 PM2 trades$4800 min
5/4/2025, 10:22:26 PM2 trades$3901 min
8/8/2025, 2:59:49 PM1 trades$3800 min
5/5/2026, 8:36:34 PM1 trades$3420 min
9/17/2025, 6:36:14 PM6 trades$2925 min
4/20/2026, 5:50:08 AM3 trades$2903 min
3/16/2026, 9:34:33 AM1 trades$2400 min
10/21/2025, 4:38:09 PM1 trades$2400 min
6/6/2026, 8:01:19 AM6 trades$2350 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-06
10-21
01-15
04-18
04-27
05-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.28/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L88.8 / M4.3 / H6.8