@MilitantCentrist

#115,44740

0x74212957c79696556750b7cb2515866646d7095c

~19d· 42 markets · 166 tradesVol: $10,5582026-08-05 16:40:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (23/33)19.8/20
0.83x (win $712 / loss $856)0.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5850/15
Sortino -1.8020/10
$-0.0209 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 543 (33 markets)9.8/10
10/14 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 150% of peak ($434 / $290)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+506
Consistent
10/14 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#45,129$197Vol: $6,328
🎭 CULTURE#11,936$259Vol: $3,844
📈 ECONOMICS#18,019$51Vol: $386

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$506
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,558
Total Redeem
$158
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
42
total markets
Trades
98B / 68S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$45
Vol: $0
Week
$41
Vol: $0
Month
$48
Vol: $0
All Time
$506
Vol: $10,558

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
23W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$506
Win Rate
70%
23W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$31
Avg Loss
$-143

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $242 (0.47856493737405664% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$95
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$77
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$71
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?$67
Trump out as President by June 30?$57
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?$43
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$33
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$31
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$28
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?$27

Top Losers

GTA VI released before June 2026?$-240
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-201
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$-200
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?$-109
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$-101
Lana Del Rey divorce in 2025?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.080
Sortino
-0.077
HHI
234
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.034
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.1%
Top-5 markets
25%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
58.8m
between trades
Night Trading
58%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
41
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 136s — normal for humanCV 1.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)58% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.64
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.3%
Mid (20-55c)1%
High (>55c)85.7%

Sessions

#12
7/11/2026, 5:05:04 AM22 trades$2,0564 min
7/31/2026, 4:29:36 PM35 trades$1,1249 min
3/30/2026, 6:53:26 AM1 trades$7630 min
6/6/2026, 5:01:55 AM9 trades$6484 min
4/16/2026, 4:34:00 AM15 trades$5495 min
5/3/2026, 4:03:12 AM9 trades$4577 min
6/6/2026, 5:11:27 AM4 trades$3212 min
12/12/2025, 12:42:26 AM6 trades$3074 min
5/8/2025, 3:50:15 AM7 trades$3009 min
3/14/2026, 11:04:39 PM2 trades$2550 min
7/29/2026, 9:32:14 AM11 trades$2290 min
4/29/2025, 4:34:22 AM4 trades$2058 min
5/3/2026, 3:57:08 AM2 trades$2020 min
4/29/2025, 5:17:18 AM3 trades$1758 min
3/14/2026, 10:53:19 PM1 trades$1010 min
3/14/2026, 10:58:55 PM1 trades$1010 min
10/13/2025, 8:44:33 PM1 trades$1000 min
5/9/2025, 7:21:56 AM1 trades$1000 min
5/3/2026, 6:28:52 AM1 trades$990 min
5/25/2025, 12:25:00 AM1 trades$980 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
05-08
05-22
10-13
03-14
04-16
06-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 56 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.3 / M1 / H85.7