@MispricedPaladin
#109,379250xde88d50d54236eeecfbe6e3b40d7c32544a9144c
~102d· 134 markets · 704 tradesVol: $92,6522026-08-03 19:28:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
49% (49/100)9.5/20
0.89x (win $3,917 / loss $4,382)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8000/15
Sortino -0.9890/10
$-0.0156 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 485 (100 markets)10/10
25/51 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 132% of peak ($1,908 / $1,443)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+586
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#19,682$865Vol: $74,101
₿ CRYPTO#75,100$149Vol: $11,730
⚽ SPORTS#1,648,273$-79Vol: $4,549
📈 ECONOMICS#140,822$0Vol: $948
💰 FINANCE#624,502$-67Vol: $518
🌤️ WEATHER#279,012$-62Vol: $439
💻 TECH#252,712$-200Vol: $238
🎭 CULTURE#753,224$-40Vol: $129
Overview
#1Net PnL
$565
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$92,652
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
134
total markets
Trades
360B / 344S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~102d
Periods
#2Today
$-109
Vol: $289
Week
$-109
Vol: $2,265
Month
$-120
Vol: $3,284
All Time
$565
Vol: $92,652
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
49%
49W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$586
Win Rate
49%
49W / 51L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$80
Avg Loss
$-86
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,268 (2.1646972439465864% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?$488
US government shutdown Saturday?$438
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$342
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$189
Will Unidad por Chile gain the most seats in the Senate election?$177
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$158
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$156
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$110
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$108
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$105
Top Losers
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$-805
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-557
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?$-220
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-204
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score$-200
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$-200
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-192
Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?$-184
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-112
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$-100
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.042
Sortino
-0.044
HHI
174
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.024
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.5%
Top-5 markets
23.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
33.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2024s — normal for humanCV 1.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.91
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)9.2%
Mid (20-55c)37.8%
High (>55c)53.1%
Sessions
#127/30/2026, 2:24:41 PM7 trades$1,6530 min
1/31/2026, 9:53:34 AM1 trades$1,5620 min
6/4/2026, 12:06:01 AM6 trades$1,5201 min
11/21/2025, 12:19:37 PM1 trades$1,4970 min
7/23/2026, 5:37:22 PM2 trades$1,2140 min
1/31/2026, 1:13:08 AM1 trades$1,1530 min
1/31/2026, 12:39:24 AM1 trades$1,1530 min
6/27/2026, 8:20:14 PM12 trades$1,0852 min
7/30/2026, 2:48:18 PM4 trades$1,0300 min
6/9/2026, 5:05:27 PM2 trades$9600 min
8/1/2026, 5:14:59 PM4 trades$7690 min
1/31/2026, 2:53:34 AM2 trades$7291 min
6/19/2026, 4:20:50 PM9 trades$6721 min
1/29/2026, 8:14:42 PM3 trades$6415 min
7/31/2026, 4:19:56 PM2 trades$6240 min
7/13/2026, 6:19:02 PM12 trades$6141 min
5/16/2026, 6:16:29 PM2 trades$6040 min
1/30/2026, 6:29:20 PM2 trades$5840 min
5/31/2026, 3:04:03 PM2 trades$5390 min
5/25/2026, 6:03:53 PM4 trades$5180 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-30
12-14
01-16
02-05
04-05
06-16
07-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 176 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.91/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.2 / M37.8 / H53.1