MitchMarner

@MitchMarner

#34,43099

0x962acb913594232d2f59179dc87191bdec7aaa6c

~49d· 76 markets · 467 tradesVol: $31,3452026-08-04 18:12:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

99
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (50/73)19.2/20
4.79x (win $8,019 / loss $1,674)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.98515/15
Sortino 47.68310/10
$+0.2956 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 618 (73 markets)9.4/10
26/34 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 7% of peak ($421 / $6,345)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+3,410
DCA Master
Avg 6.9 entries/market
Consistent
26/34 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 7%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#1,926$2,565Vol: $17,815
🏛️ POLITICS#18,882$922Vol: $7,667
SPORTS#1,689,455$-110Vol: $3,211
📢 MENTIONS#150,787$-32Vol: $293
🎭 CULTURE#665,817$-7Vol: $23

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,410
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,345
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
188B / 279S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

Periods

#2
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$3,410
Vol: $31,345

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
50W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$3,410
Win Rate
68%
50W / 23L
Profit Factor
4.79x
Avg Win
$160
Avg Loss
$-80

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,359 (0.9849996480855856% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?$1,459
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July?$1,109
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$791
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$789
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$383
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$359
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?$336
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$311
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$271
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in July?$247

Top Losers

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?$-658
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$-421
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$-120
Sabres vs. Canadiens$-88
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$-86
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?$-52
Oilers vs. Blues$-50
Bruins vs. Sabres$-40
Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House press briefing?$-40
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$-34

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.412
Sortino
1.365
HHI
839
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.268
Kelly %
6.1%
Half-Kelly
3.1%
Top-1 market
15.4%
Top-5 markets
57.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 459s — normal for humanCV 2.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.95
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.7%
Mid (20-55c)9.6%
High (>55c)86.7%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 3:54:17 PM21 trades$3,3260 min
5/24/2026, 11:06:02 PM9 trades$2,5084 min
6/11/2026, 1:45:46 PM15 trades$2,34310 min
5/24/2026, 4:02:35 AM22 trades$2,0915 min
5/24/2026, 3:04:08 AM20 trades$1,8636 min
3/31/2026, 6:43:15 PM24 trades$1,5972 min
7/16/2026, 5:31:47 PM23 trades$1,1505 min
7/16/2026, 3:20:50 PM3 trades$9520 min
6/17/2026, 4:53:07 PM14 trades$9051 min
6/12/2026, 5:44:42 PM4 trades$8570 min
5/16/2026, 5:51:03 PM8 trades$7401 min
5/20/2026, 2:56:28 PM6 trades$6506 min
5/16/2026, 5:59:31 PM6 trades$6482 min
5/22/2026, 8:15:23 PM11 trades$6410 min
5/22/2026, 2:48:11 PM3 trades$6000 min
7/3/2026, 2:57:19 PM8 trades$5950 min
5/1/2026, 8:17:50 PM5 trades$5600 min
5/20/2026, 8:55:39 PM8 trades$4745 min
7/17/2026, 5:20:19 PM6 trades$4630 min
7/3/2026, 3:26:20 PM4 trades$4420 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
03-10
03-25
04-10
05-04
05-24
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.7 / M9.6 / H86.7