Mitherandir

@Mitherandir

#2,868,01935

0xd990ad35098482db6b99fdd9aa5c446eac6f4349

~277d· 2171 markets · 4026 tradesVol: $343,158 @Juan00053212482026-08-04 21:02:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (1494/2052)20/20
0.73x (win $971 / loss $1,327)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0940/15
Sortino -3.0000/10
$-0.0299 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 555 (2052 markets)9.7/10
141/273 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 6503% of peak ($450 / $7)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Win Streak
34 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#803,143$-383Vol: $198,964
CRYPTO#1,416,556$-63Vol: $62,124
🏛️ POLITICS#1,459,102$-48Vol: $48,688
🌤️ WEATHER#280,459$-69Vol: $18,777
💰 FINANCE#61,180$8Vol: $9,510
SPORTS#231,453$19Vol: $2,216
📈 ECONOMICS#633,088$-25Vol: $1,178
💻 TECH#206,919$-3Vol: $1,087
📢 MENTIONS#120,927$-7Vol: $209

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-576
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$343,158
Total Redeem
$135
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2171
total markets
Trades
2794B / 1232S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~277d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $1,012
Month
$-2
Vol: $1,018
All Time
$-576
Vol: $343,158

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
1493W / 558L events
Realized PnL
$-576
Win Rate
73%
1493W / 558L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $158 (0.274561860142287% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$103
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$28
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$23
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?$23
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$18
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$15
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$13
Trump out as President before GTA VI?$11
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$11

Top Losers

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-40
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$-37
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$-25
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$-24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?$-24
Nets vs. Celtics$-21
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-20
Bills vs. Texans$-20
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner$-18

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.109
Sortino
-0.127
HHI
19
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
4.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.6
Active
Markets / Day
7.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
51%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 62s — normal for humanCV 1.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)51% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active7.3 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.93
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.6%
Mid (20-55c)5.8%
High (>55c)84.6%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 5:34:54 AM31 trades$6,08311 min
5/1/2026, 8:02:42 AM33 trades$6,07713 min
5/8/2026, 5:17:02 AM39 trades$6,07411 min
5/3/2026, 4:43:58 AM32 trades$6,0548 min
4/26/2026, 3:33:02 AM32 trades$6,04913 min
5/6/2026, 6:00:44 AM36 trades$5,98210 min
5/2/2026, 5:03:32 AM26 trades$5,7959 min
5/9/2026, 5:09:29 AM49 trades$5,18015 min
4/10/2026, 4:54:21 AM14 trades$5,02812 min
5/10/2026, 7:25:14 AM37 trades$4,5667 min
5/14/2026, 5:12:38 AM36 trades$3,78210 min
4/25/2026, 4:00:00 AM31 trades$2,3426 min
4/5/2026, 3:35:55 AM24 trades$1,02512 min
4/6/2026, 2:41:47 AM14 trades$1,02212 min
6/24/2026, 8:16:35 AM11 trades$1,0124 min
4/1/2026, 4:19:35 AM40 trades$61016 min
5/13/2026, 5:53:06 AM48 trades$58813 min
2/2/2026, 5:49:44 AM30 trades$19418 min
5/25/2026, 12:24:44 PM10 trades$1681 min
10/22/2025, 5:20:47 AM2 trades$1653 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-11
11-28
01-16
03-03
04-17
06-01
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 195 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.6 / M5.8 / H84.6