@Monarch07

#2,863,85327

0x6c567c31c29ff9962be3d7cf8b9a3e3e07d36e66

~21d· 41 markets · 221 tradesVol: $22,9452026-08-04 21:04:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (18/41)7/20
1.02x (win $410 / loss $404)2.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1422.7/15
Sortino 0.1701.7/10
$+0.0030 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 1249 (41 markets)6.3/10
9/16 profitable days (56%)6.6/10
Max DD 1018% of peak ($207 / $20)0/10

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#295,464$-502Vol: $21,997
CRYPTO#1,239,012$-17Vol: $416
🎭 CULTURE#612,925$-3Vol: $372
📢 MENTIONS#151,334$-34Vol: $160

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-557
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,945
Total Redeem
$2
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
81B / 140S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$16
Vol: $36
Week
$15
Vol: $279
Month
$14
Vol: $412
All Time
$-557
Vol: $22,945

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
18W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-557
Win Rate
44%
18W / 23L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $207 (0.3720992887420074% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 18?$101
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 17?$78
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?$29
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or higher on July 20?$28
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 17?$28
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 28?$25
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3?$25
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 29?$25
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?$19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 21?$17

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 9?$-168
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 17?$-86
Will MrBeast say "Subscriber" during his next YouTube video?$-48
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$-12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?$-10
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?$-10
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$-8
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?$-8
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 20?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.007
Sortino
0.006
HHI
1654
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33.9%
Top-5 markets
73.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
41
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 93s — normal for humanCV 2.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.39
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.4%
Mid (20-55c)32.1%
High (>55c)60.5%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 2:12:12 PM2 trades$7150 min
7/28/2026, 9:48:40 PM8 trades$4210 min
7/18/2026, 6:54:57 PM2 trades$2810 min
7/20/2026, 3:05:57 PM3 trades$2560 min
7/17/2026, 3:49:58 PM3 trades$2480 min
7/18/2026, 7:02:37 PM15 trades$2250 min
7/8/2026, 8:37:05 PM6 trades$2200 min
7/17/2026, 7:30:09 AM7 trades$2080 min
7/17/2026, 4:52:01 AM10 trades$1842 min
7/18/2026, 9:20:06 PM2 trades$1710 min
7/20/2026, 2:59:33 AM4 trades$1580 min
7/16/2026, 6:11:44 AM11 trades$1361 min
6/25/2026, 10:45:59 PM4 trades$1030 min
7/9/2026, 2:30:41 PM3 trades$672 min
6/19/2026, 12:08:25 PM9 trades$502 min
7/16/2026, 1:03:22 AM4 trades$480 min
6/28/2026, 4:54:14 PM2 trades$460 min
8/3/2026, 6:44:09 AM4 trades$410 min
6/20/2026, 1:31:49 PM10 trades$416 min
6/26/2026, 4:58:29 AM6 trades$390 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
06-17
06-19
06-25
06-28
07-16
07-18
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
82.9% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.4 / M32.1 / H60.5