@Montcroft
#2,393,851290xe4f168be81d0b6d160c52faa92ddf4b2f1dd2af9
~13d· 21 markets · 83 tradesVol: $18,8062026-08-04 17:19:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
57% (8/14)13.6/20
0.42x (win $156 / loss $373)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.8040/15
Sortino -5.7860/10
$-0.0584 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1170 (14 markets)6.7/10
6/9 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 239% of peak ($373 / $156)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
Consistent
6/9 profitable days
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#98,169$42Vol: $13,586
⚽ SPORTS#1,674,459$-98Vol: $5,220
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-57
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,806
Total Redeem
$1,101
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
46B / 37S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
57%
8W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-57
Win Rate
57%
8W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-62
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $102 (1.7902998236331569% of PnL)
Top Winners
Spread: AA Ponte Preta (-1.5)$46
Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)$29
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)$26
Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-2.5)$22
Spread: Liberia (-1.5)$19
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?$9
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$4
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$0
Top Losers
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$-96
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?$-88
Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)$-71
Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)$-49
Spread: Olympic Dcheira (-2.5)$-40
Spread: FC Imabari (-2.5)$-28
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.286
Sortino
-0.332
HHI
363
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.097
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.6%
Top-5 markets
35%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
25.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
33
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1518s — normal for humanCV 1.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.36
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)37%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)63%
Sessions
#125/2/2026, 7:17:52 AM8 trades$1,0432 min
7/30/2026, 10:42:32 AM3 trades$9620 min
4/29/2026, 5:28:16 AM8 trades$9605 min
4/29/2026, 5:20:20 AM4 trades$9510 min
5/2/2026, 8:14:42 AM4 trades$9300 min
4/30/2026, 10:38:40 AM8 trades$9163 min
4/10/2026, 9:35:05 AM3 trades$3620 min
4/8/2026, 7:16:11 AM2 trades$2920 min
4/12/2026, 2:07:17 AM1 trades$2900 min
4/6/2026, 2:28:01 AM2 trades$2870 min
4/6/2026, 4:50:39 AM2 trades$2860 min
4/6/2026, 3:13:57 AM1 trades$2720 min
4/4/2026, 4:14:59 AM2 trades$2680 min
4/8/2026, 3:01:57 AM2 trades$2600 min
4/1/2026, 4:39:01 AM2 trades$2560 min
4/7/2026, 6:02:43 AM2 trades$2550 min
4/8/2026, 4:34:47 AM1 trades$2540 min
4/4/2026, 2:09:17 AM2 trades$2480 min
4/7/2026, 6:51:57 AM1 trades$2460 min
4/4/2026, 3:18:35 AM1 trades$2430 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-31
04-01
04-04
04-06
04-07
04-08
04-29
04-30
05-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 24 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.36/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L37 / M0 / H63