Morbuu

@Morbuu

#3,023,00640

0xf3d442efcb462878e6b7c63b0818c166a83584a1

~345d· 959 markets · 9642 tradesVol: $1,942,214 @Kumegumbe2026-08-05 15:51:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (781/927)20/20
0.83x (win $24,227 / loss $29,067)0.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7750/15
Sortino -0.8300/10
$-0.0050 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 87 (927 markets)10/10
199/239 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 277% of peak ($10,256 / $3,697)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 84%
DCA Master
Avg 9.1 entries/market
Whale
$962,989 invested
Consistent
199/239 profitable days
High Roller
$1,751/day
Win Streak
28 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#6,812$4,514Vol: $673,014
🎭 CULTURE#817,978$-5,078Vol: $642,041
SPORTS#1,846,200$-1,560Vol: $390,361
📢 MENTIONS#172,924$-437Vol: $69,702
🌤️ WEATHER#7,503$90Vol: $46,172
💰 FINANCE#19,831$85Vol: $24,671
CRYPTO#254,590$8Vol: $15,823
📈 ECONOMICS#17,437$54Vol: $12,094
💻 TECH#247,362$-75Vol: $3,876

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,935
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,942,214
Total Redeem
$2,984
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
959
total markets
Trades
6003B / 3639S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~345d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$53
Vol: $3,250
Month
$107
Vol: $3,250
All Time
$-2,935
Vol: $1,942,214

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
781W / 146L events
Realized PnL
$-2,935
Win Rate
84%
781W / 146L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$31
Avg Loss
$-220

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,864 (0.9757972461402689% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1,260
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1$822
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$782
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$752
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$719
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$632
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?$628
Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?$583
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30m views on day 1?$580
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$550

Top Losers

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$-3,920
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Hamilton?$-2,774
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$-2,737
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45–50 million views on day 1?$-2,173
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?$-2,011
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?$-1,943
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$-1,827
US military action against Iran before July?$-1,479
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$-1,474
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-963

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.041
Sortino
-0.020
HHI
65
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
10.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
42.5m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 186s — normal for humanCV 2.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active1.7 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.11
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.1%
Mid (20-55c)11.1%
High (>55c)80.8%

Sessions

#12
3/1/2026, 12:07:19 AM34 trades$21,02417 min
2/28/2026, 10:19:59 PM33 trades$19,79429 min
6/28/2026, 2:21:40 PM4 trades$18,4201 min
3/22/2026, 9:35:11 AM37 trades$17,03327 min
3/1/2026, 12:31:01 AM20 trades$16,18010 min
6/14/2026, 1:50:37 PM7 trades$14,7974 min
12/7/2025, 10:45:01 AM81 trades$13,77548 min
6/14/2026, 2:03:03 PM41 trades$12,14915 min
6/19/2025, 2:53:30 PM5 trades$12,0065 min
2/21/2026, 7:10:24 PM42 trades$11,62843 min
6/1/2025, 8:16:39 PM7 trades$10,5279 min
6/1/2025, 7:55:33 PM4 trades$9,1093 min
2/28/2026, 8:42:37 PM45 trades$8,03235 min
3/15/2026, 8:26:33 AM23 trades$7,72816 min
6/1/2025, 4:07:37 PM12 trades$7,68113 min
4/12/2026, 3:47:37 PM54 trades$7,46031 min
3/22/2026, 10:19:05 AM24 trades$7,39821 min
3/14/2026, 3:14:41 AM23 trades$7,23928 min
4/12/2026, 6:38:31 PM38 trades$6,84634 min
3/4/2026, 5:27:17 PM2 trades$6,3583 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-23
06-04
08-05
10-15
12-20
03-11
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 295 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.1 / M11.1 / H80.8