@Moribundus

#3,018,57537

0x1bdf96c53e8922cf09d310b146f3972bd3df1b74

~97d· 135 markets · 857 tradesVol: $112,7372026-08-04 18:55:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (70/104)18.7/20
0.43x (win $2,813 / loss $6,497)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1400/15
Sortino -2.1500/10
$-0.0488 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 857 (104 markets)8.2/10
35/50 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 952% of peak ($4,582 / $481)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 67%
DCA Master
Avg 5.4 entries/market
Whale
$75,547 invested
Consistent
35/50 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,631,428$-3,521Vol: $77,796
🎭 CULTURE#5,515$874Vol: $31,094
₿ CRYPTO#1,417,355$-62Vol: $1,678
💰 FINANCE#68,740$6Vol: $1,409
⚽ SPORTS#1,519,440$-30Vol: $500
📈 ECONOMICS#30,749$18Vol: $200
📢 MENTIONS#155,831$-49Vol: $60

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,764
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$112,737
Total Redeem
$690
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
135
total markets
Trades
640B / 217S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~97d

Periods

#2
Today
$8
Vol: $0
Week
$-11
Vol: $0
Month
$-41
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,764
Vol: $112,737

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
70W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-2,764
Win Rate
67%
70W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$40
Avg Loss
$-203

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $836 (0.302362945540076% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$390
US government shutdown Saturday?$266
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?$180
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 16, 2026?$150
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $117
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$112
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?$100
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$100
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?$75

Top Losers

Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on January 16, 2026?$-4,292
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-428
Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 16, 2026?$-243
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-240
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 13, 2026?$-220
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$-164
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 13, 2026?$-162
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?$-87
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?$-86
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 30, 2026?$-72

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.111
Sortino
-0.061
HHI
389
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.071
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.5%
Top-5 markets
37.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 952s — normal for humanCV 2.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.44
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.9%
Mid (20-55c)11.7%
High (>55c)72.3%

Sessions

#12
7/13/2026, 6:24:59 PM71 trades$10,25519 min
1/8/2026, 9:19:47 AM11 trades$4,84312 min
1/6/2026, 7:17:47 PM2 trades$2,9580 min
1/6/2026, 2:16:35 PM1 trades$2,9100 min
1/16/2026, 10:33:20 AM2 trades$1,9710 min
1/18/2026, 3:20:34 PM3 trades$1,7084 min
1/6/2026, 9:39:43 PM4 trades$1,5243 min
1/4/2026, 10:09:19 PM3 trades$1,3494 min
1/27/2026, 1:03:31 PM2 trades$1,3100 min
2/23/2026, 9:55:36 AM7 trades$1,2286 min
1/12/2026, 1:49:12 PM2 trades$1,0460 min
1/13/2026, 8:56:52 PM1 trades$9920 min
1/7/2026, 9:54:19 AM1 trades$9850 min
1/18/2026, 3:24:44 AM1 trades$9850 min
1/20/2026, 4:46:44 PM1 trades$9850 min
1/18/2026, 1:25:44 AM2 trades$9821 min
1/6/2026, 10:56:09 PM1 trades$9800 min
1/7/2026, 3:40:35 PM1 trades$9800 min
1/7/2026, 4:12:37 PM1 trades$9800 min
1/8/2026, 8:43:15 AM1 trades$9750 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-27
01-10
01-22
02-01
02-14
05-02
05-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.9 / M11.7 / H72.3