@MostlyMeasured

#1,649,15211

0x48a2668e4def146f9bc1e08ecb5f4229a88ead60

~8d· 15 markets · 56 tradesVol: $18,0042026-08-04 22:39:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (4/11)3.2/20
0.43x (win $261 / loss $609)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.3650/15
Sortino -7.5840/10
$-0.0797 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1574 (11 markets)4.6/10
3/7 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 234% of peak ($609 / $261)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
45% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#210,630$5Vol: $12,167
SPORTS#1,633,113$-69Vol: $3,736

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,004
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
15
total markets
Trades
38B / 18S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
4W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-6
Win Rate
36%
4W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$65
Avg Loss
$-87

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $210 (37.44128113879003% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)$97
Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffs$57
Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)$56
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?$50

Top Losers

US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?$-252
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?$-141
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$-71
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)$-68
Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)$-61
Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)$-15
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.357
Sortino
-0.654
HHI
664
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.143
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.3%
Top-5 markets
49.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
75%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
21
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 196s — normal for humanCV 1.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)75% night trades — never sleeps8/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.45
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)44.7%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)55.3%

Sessions

#12
5/14/2026, 2:58:21 AM4 trades$9580 min
5/13/2026, 3:32:08 AM4 trades$9341 min
7/2/2026, 6:30:19 AM7 trades$9163 min
4/29/2026, 4:02:10 AM3 trades$9144 min
5/12/2026, 3:28:12 AM5 trades$8812 min
4/30/2026, 4:59:32 AM2 trades$4900 min
4/30/2026, 10:53:06 AM2 trades$4830 min
7/31/2026, 1:52:20 AM2 trades$4670 min
4/29/2026, 2:52:44 AM2 trades$4610 min
7/31/2026, 2:28:17 AM2 trades$4520 min
4/30/2026, 10:01:22 AM1 trades$4040 min
3/11/2026, 7:10:43 AM2 trades$2332 min
5/13/2026, 3:43:01 AM2 trades$681 min
5/14/2026, 3:22:33 AM6 trades$634 min
5/12/2026, 2:04:56 AM2 trades$430 min
5/13/2026, 2:32:43 AM2 trades$331 min
5/14/2026, 1:39:01 AM2 trades$270 min
4/30/2026, 9:29:18 AM1 trades$260 min
3/11/2026, 4:48:01 AM2 trades$250 min
5/12/2026, 3:35:44 AM2 trades$150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-11
04-29
04-30
05-12
05-13
05-14
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 63 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.45/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.7 / M0 / H55.3