Moustik007

@Moustik007

#102,47063

0xdc0a6bf4b19f1bbedc8477cf74e8b375b98dccdc

~274d· 2404 markets · 6721 tradesVol: $244,343 @Moustik007_2026-08-04 21:48:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (1046/2375)7/20
1.21x (win $11,231 / loss $9,290)5.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.30315/15
Sortino 4.14410/10
$+0.0587 per $1 invested2.9/10
HHI 49 (2375 markets)10/10
124/251 profitable days (49%)4.9/10
Max DD 31% of peak ($813 / $2,653)7.9/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+649
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
📢 MENTIONS#991$1,372Vol: $117,298
SPORTS#1,760,939$-262Vol: $50,439
🎭 CULTURE#212,882$0Vol: $22,682
💰 FINANCE#635,379$-116Vol: $13,689
🌤️ WEATHER#280,601$-69Vol: $12,913
🏛️ POLITICS#41,027$234Vol: $9,484
CRYPTO#1,315,460$-29Vol: $5,246
💻 TECH#248,317$-91Vol: $953
📈 ECONOMICS#546,202$-3Vol: $930

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$649
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$244,343
Total Redeem
$2,091
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2404
total markets
Trades
5229B / 1492S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~274d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $30
Week
$-13
Vol: $250
Month
$-7
Vol: $704
All Time
$649
Vol: $244,343

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
1048W / 1326L events
Realized PnL
$649
Win Rate
44%
1048W / 1326L
Profit Factor
1.21x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,033 (3.130381890976286% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1,717
Will "Polymarket" be said on ICEMAN?$167
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$149
Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Wisconsin events?$99
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during trophy presentation?$98
Will Trump say "Trump" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$92
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during April press conference?$85
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$68
Will Trump's remarks not air?$65
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$65

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 12?$-148
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?$-130
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?$-94
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?$-88
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-69
Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Tax" 20+ times during National Agriculture Day events?$-68
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-68
Will Trump say "Motor City" during Michigan remarks?$-59
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-54
Will Trump say "Tax" 15+ times at The Villages on May 1?$-49

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.068
Sortino
0.188
HHI
40
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.060
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
9.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.1
Active
Markets / Day
8.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.9m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 198s — normal for humanCV 1.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency8.3 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.87
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.3%
Mid (20-55c)36.2%
High (>55c)31.5%

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 3:38:44 PM95 trades$1,34148 min
6/10/2026, 3:40:45 PM55 trades$1,11028 min
5/9/2026, 6:48:43 PM36 trades$72018 min
6/1/2026, 8:27:46 AM31 trades$6129 min
5/1/2026, 5:52:32 PM40 trades$55435 min
5/13/2026, 4:53:29 PM7 trades$5191 min
7/9/2026, 8:43:02 AM24 trades$51718 min
4/6/2026, 4:04:03 PM9 trades$4933 min
7/27/2026, 1:18:04 PM20 trades$49110 min
6/10/2026, 4:14:22 PM26 trades$4648 min
5/20/2026, 3:05:23 AM36 trades$4434 min
7/8/2026, 7:11:11 AM30 trades$41516 min
6/5/2026, 5:57:46 PM24 trades$37418 min
4/11/2026, 10:12:35 AM7 trades$3452 min
5/13/2026, 5:02:51 PM26 trades$3415 min
4/1/2026, 11:57:57 AM46 trades$3379 min
7/29/2026, 3:59:12 PM6 trades$3144 min
3/18/2026, 4:30:37 PM26 trades$31216 min
5/16/2026, 10:42:50 PM2 trades$3000 min
7/27/2026, 9:57:21 AM13 trades$2896 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-18
12-01
01-13
02-23
04-06
06-06
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 43 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.87/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L32.3 / M36.2 / H31.5