@Mrage
#5,227730x6f46821c6f3f395725e59009c19f1183d6181bba
~169d· 270 markets · 1755 tradesVol: $433,6372026-08-06 16:17:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (103/270)4.1/20
2.70x (win $41,899 / loss $15,528)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.37815/15
Sortino 16.32310/10
$+0.4071 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1136 (270 markets)6.8/10
53/138 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($2,057 / $26,643)10/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+32,482
Lottery Player
62% entries < $0.20
Whale
$64,777 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 8%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#4,836$7,313Vol: $203,732
🌤️ WEATHER#149$12,489Vol: $153,486
🎭 CULTURE#3,759$1,537Vol: $25,224
📈 ECONOMICS#2,016$1,938Vol: $20,578
📢 MENTIONS#5,092$133Vol: $283
Overview
#1Net PnL
$32,482
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$433,637
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
270
total markets
Trades
1383B / 372S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~169d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
103W / 167L events
Realized PnL
$32,482
Win Rate
38%
103W / 167L
Profit Factor
2.7x
Avg Win
$407
Avg Loss
$-94
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18,847 (0.5802174425030362% of PnL)
Top Winners
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$8,192
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on December 17?$7,139
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on January 6?$3,516
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?$2,390
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?$1,549
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$1,441
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25?$1,400
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?$1,178
Will Milton make landfall as a category 2 or lower?$872
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on February 20, 2026?$767
Top Losers
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more? $-1,192
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$-911
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 31?$-838
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-646
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by September 30?$-527
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 1.5-1.9 on Oct 18?$-469
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 15?$-421
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-398
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 15?$-371
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 20, 2026?$-361
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.176
Sortino
0.773
HHI
1117
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.349
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
31.7%
Top-5 markets
44.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 292s — normal for humanCV 4.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.67
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)61.6%
Mid (20-55c)25%
High (>55c)13.4%
Sessions
#124/17/2026, 5:37:24 PM18 trades$10,1860 min
4/20/2026, 9:46:06 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
1/6/2026, 11:25:31 PM2 trades$2,1671 min
11/13/2024, 6:46:15 PM2 trades$2,0921 min
12/17/2025, 10:01:57 PM2 trades$1,9391 min
10/9/2024, 5:32:33 PM4 trades$1,7245 min
2/20/2026, 5:05:28 PM12 trades$1,67510 min
11/13/2025, 1:02:20 AM7 trades$1,6372 min
4/24/2026, 7:18:22 PM44 trades$1,5492 min
12/17/2025, 9:51:23 PM4 trades$1,4802 min
2/27/2026, 6:19:01 PM7 trades$1,47912 min
2/7/2026, 8:08:13 PM1 trades$1,3810 min
11/12/2024, 10:54:25 PM1 trades$1,2630 min
1/31/2026, 7:46:24 PM19 trades$1,2417 min
10/19/2024, 2:13:23 PM2 trades$1,1711 min
11/12/2025, 3:11:28 PM9 trades$1,0056 min
2/19/2026, 3:04:56 PM5 trades$9982 min
2/21/2026, 10:25:42 AM1 trades$9820 min
2/8/2026, 12:26:55 AM3 trades$9575 min
10/9/2024, 11:45:49 AM1 trades$9480 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-08
11-05
10-14
11-21
12-30
02-14
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 33 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
42% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.67/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.6 / M25 / H13.4