MugiwaraDLuffy

@MugiwaraDLuffy

#2,696,1460

0xabe979e2c1e2815c8168c406adb4cb95258c00b8

~21d· 64 markets · 251 tradesVol: $74,0892026-08-04 23:04:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

6% (4/63)0/20
0.04x (win $18 / loss $417)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -11.5720/15
Sortino -9.8980/10
$-1.0359 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2455 (63 markets)0.2/10
1/15 profitable days (7%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($399 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
76% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
📈 ECONOMICS#648,625$-50Vol: $24,057
🎭 CULTURE#734,110$-24Vol: $18,664
⚽ SPORTS#1,510,560$-28Vol: $12,499
💰 FINANCE#607,864$-31Vol: $10,135
🏛️ POLITICS#1,412,713$-28Vol: $7,102
₿ CRYPTO#1,251,878$-19Vol: $1,294
📢 MENTIONS#127,054$-10Vol: $338

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-189
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$74,089
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
64
total markets
Trades
140B / 111S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-189
Vol: $74,089

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
6%
4W / 59L events
Realized PnL
$-189
Win Rate
6%
4W / 59L
Profit Factor
0.04x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16 (0.086634970945589% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$12
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$4

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-177
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$-32
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-17
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$-12
Spread: Portugal (-5.5)$-11
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-11
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?$-9
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-9
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.585
Sortino
-0.573
HHI
2564
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.719
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
46.3%
Top-5 markets
79.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — normal for humanCV 1.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.33
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)75.7%
Mid (20-55c)7.1%
High (>55c)17.1%

Sessions

#12
7/6/2026, 9:23:01 AM14 trades$2,8203 min
4/7/2026, 12:19:21 PM12 trades$1,0083 min
7/6/2026, 2:07:58 PM8 trades$6280 min
7/3/2026, 11:51:25 AM2 trades$5000 min
7/12/2026, 4:08:19 AM11 trades$4212 min
7/18/2026, 2:13:49 AM8 trades$2593 min
7/1/2026, 12:40:22 PM4 trades$2010 min
7/18/2026, 8:55:21 AM11 trades$1422 min
7/17/2026, 5:12:27 AM8 trades$1085 min
7/12/2026, 1:10:02 PM5 trades$931 min
7/21/2026, 9:17:09 AM4 trades$830 min
7/6/2026, 9:01:59 AM2 trades$400 min
2/7/2026, 7:04:13 AM10 trades$3610 min
7/18/2026, 7:25:43 AM2 trades$280 min
7/6/2026, 2:25:34 PM8 trades$262 min
7/4/2026, 10:38:22 AM3 trades$260 min
7/12/2026, 11:16:17 AM10 trades$256 min
7/12/2026, 1:17:56 PM3 trades$240 min
7/3/2026, 11:42:13 AM4 trades$200 min
2/3/2026, 5:09:38 PM4 trades$184 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-02
02-07
02-16
03-09
04-07
07-06
07-13
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.33/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L75.7 / M7.1 / H17.1