MukMuk11

@MukMuk11

#54,81478

0xfc8aeec87741563622874f2623e1cebcfd238f0b

~69d· 522 markets · 1953 tradesVol: $181,071 @luo_zi973662026-08-04 20:45:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (245/506)9.2/20
1.92x (win $7,150 / loss $3,730)14/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.11415/15
Sortino 16.17310/10
$+0.0922 per $1 invested4.6/10
HHI 356 (506 markets)10/10
29/59 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($498 / $3,716)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+1,876
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#709$2,830Vol: $75,357
🏛️ POLITICS#1,594,016$-458Vol: $43,327
💰 FINANCE#645,093$-270Vol: $21,392
SPORTS#1,639,048$-72Vol: $18,645
CRYPTO#64,105$207Vol: $11,589
📈 ECONOMICS#655,206$-76Vol: $2,889
💻 TECH#253,182$-202Vol: $2,410
🎭 CULTURE#541,986$-1Vol: $969

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,876
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$181,071
Total Redeem
$138
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
522
total markets
Trades
1201B / 752S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~69d

Periods

#2
Today
$12
Vol: $0
Week
$-7
Vol: $0
Month
$4
Vol: $454
All Time
$1,876
Vol: $181,071

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
245W / 261L events
Realized PnL
$1,876
Win Rate
48%
245W / 261L
Profit Factor
1.92x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,498 (1.8639956086356393% of PnL)

Top Winners

Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?$2,062
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?$842
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C or below on March 29?$594
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C or below on March 27?$424
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$272
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on April 1?$233
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$219
Avalanche vs. Blues: O/U 6.5$207
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 4.5$188
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on April 2?$176

Top Losers

Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$-296
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$-242
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?$-233
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on March 22?$-144
Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-138
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$-122
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-122
Will Puerto Rico win Pool A at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$-107
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?$-96
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on April 1?$-84

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.162
Sortino
0.747
HHI
422
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.083
Kelly %
23.6%
Half-Kelly
11.8%
Top-1 market
10%
Top-5 markets
39.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.8
Active
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
41.4m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 84s — normal for humanCV 3.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active2.9 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.76
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.9%
Mid (20-55c)16.8%
High (>55c)46.3%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 11:57:16 AM39 trades$2,85915 min
3/29/2026, 11:53:00 AM2 trades$1,8671 min
4/28/2026, 12:58:40 PM3 trades$1,8634 min
3/23/2026, 11:20:51 AM4 trades$1,8412 min
3/31/2026, 5:06:09 PM119 trades$1,82314 min
3/29/2026, 12:03:50 PM5 trades$1,6381 min
3/29/2026, 1:12:02 AM3 trades$1,5204 min
4/5/2026, 3:52:07 PM2 trades$1,3540 min
3/29/2026, 1:39:52 AM2 trades$1,2634 min
3/29/2026, 2:17:38 AM1 trades$1,2240 min
2/12/2026, 1:57:15 PM28 trades$1,2053 min
3/29/2026, 3:50:20 AM1 trades$1,2000 min
3/29/2026, 3:57:36 AM3 trades$1,1603 min
3/25/2026, 12:42:21 PM4 trades$1,1202 min
3/21/2026, 2:53:03 PM4 trades$9145 min
6/28/2026, 1:54:50 AM16 trades$8951 min
3/23/2026, 7:23:17 AM4 trades$8863 min
6/26/2026, 9:25:43 PM21 trades$8773 min
3/25/2026, 11:23:29 PM2 trades$8675 min
6/26/2026, 11:56:38 AM6 trades$7811 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-02
02-27
03-10
03-20
03-29
04-14
06-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
44% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.76/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L36.9 / M16.8 / H46.3