@Muromec

#3,067,3949

0x5a664790884f5e833426cc99369c57b715c59051

~118d· 221 markets · 680 tradesVol: $1,027,4122026-08-04 20:58:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (74/221)1.7/20
0.64x (win $42,354 / loss $66,332)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6780/15
Sortino -5.0670/10
$-0.1554 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1302 (221 markets)6/10
32/94 profitable days (34%)1/10
Max DD 1151% of peak ($26,260 / $2,281)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
63% entries < $0.55
Whale
$154,335 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
₿ CRYPTO#41,015$558Vol: $387,591
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,504$-9,255Vol: $303,509
📢 MENTIONS#176,468$-3,462Vol: $146,885
⚽ SPORTS#6,125$8,537Vol: $84,237
💰 FINANCE#657,131$-3,022Vol: $37,198
🎭 CULTURE#816,334$-7,099Vol: $34,825
💻 TECH#257,272$-896Vol: $4,112
📈 ECONOMICS#651,440$-60Vol: $2,939

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-21,228
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,027,412
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
221
total markets
Trades
371B / 309S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~118d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
74W / 147L events
Realized PnL
$-21,228
Win Rate
33%
74W / 147L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$572
Avg Loss
$-464

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,282 (0.5785980008319267% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump say "Hitler" during Georgia rally on October 28?$4,464
Ethereum ETF approved in 2024?$4,101
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?$3,717
Topuria vs. Holloway$2,802
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?$1,948
Ankalaev vs. Rakic$1,346
zkSync airdrop by June 30?$1,242
Murphy vs. Ige$1,201
Will Trump say "Border" 25 or more times during Michigan rally?$995
Magomedov vs. Petrosyan$943

Top Losers

Biden drops out of presidential race?$-4,113
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner$-3,706
Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4?$-3,251
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$-3,184
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?$-2,578
Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?$-1,977
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?$-1,622
Will Marco Rubio win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$-1,409
Swell airdrop by June 30?$-1,300
Will Trump say "Elon" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$-1,300

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.192
Sortino
-0.299
HHI
151
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.153
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
17.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 160s — normal for humanCV 1.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.23
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.1%
Mid (20-55c)34%
High (>55c)36.9%

Sessions

#12
6/3/2026, 9:50:58 AM18 trades$38,5276 min
6/3/2026, 11:03:56 AM2 trades$27,5000 min
7/14/2024, 10:05:16 PM4 trades$10,6451 min
10/26/2024, 7:15:28 PM2 trades$10,2010 min
10/26/2024, 8:48:15 PM1 trades$10,0380 min
10/26/2024, 7:49:17 PM2 trades$7,5460 min
10/26/2024, 7:59:49 PM2 trades$7,2365 min
10/26/2024, 6:38:49 PM2 trades$6,5435 min
11/6/2024, 2:07:11 PM9 trades$6,4594 min
5/23/2024, 2:20:05 PM1 trades$6,0680 min
6/11/2024, 2:27:28 PM1 trades$5,4150 min
10/28/2024, 3:42:00 AM3 trades$4,6004 min
6/6/2024, 11:42:34 PM1 trades$4,1730 min
10/31/2024, 9:48:22 PM5 trades$3,9823 min
5/21/2024, 12:32:07 PM4 trades$3,4451 min
10/1/2024, 2:22:32 PM9 trades$3,1665 min
5/23/2024, 9:20:52 PM2 trades$3,1521 min
6/24/2023, 2:37:52 PM1 trades$3,0000 min
10/29/2024, 11:32:56 AM1 trades$3,0000 min
10/10/2024, 4:23:01 AM4 trades$2,9806 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-24
08-17
10-11
11-02
11-13
04-13
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 758 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.23/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L29.1 / M34 / H36.9