Mystery8848

@Mystery8848

#2,738,71212

0x9227f007e4e96d04dd80d488ff53376793dd4df5

~153d· 174 markets · 681 tradesVol: $138,006 @Mystery675537842026-08-04 23:02:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (49/169)0/20
0.99x (win $5,120 / loss $5,160)2.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0460/15
Sortino -0.0850/10
$-0.0020 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 437 (169 markets)10/10
27/91 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 267% of peak ($1,443 / $540)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,550,537$-244Vol: $125,802
📈 ECONOMICS#18,663$48Vol: $5,518
🏛️ POLITICS#1,460,506$-48Vol: $2,790
💰 FINANCE#614,080$-40Vol: $1,645
📢 MENTIONS#116,871$-5Vol: $195
SPORTS#953,494$-1Vol: $8

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-234
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$138,006
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
174
total markets
Trades
438B / 243S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~153d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-234
Vol: $138,006

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
49W / 120L events
Realized PnL
$-234
Win Rate
29%
49W / 120L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$105
Avg Loss
$-44

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,502 (6.426591375770021% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?$563
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?$529
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?$411
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?$346
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?$345
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?$276
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?$229
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?$227
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?$190
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 15-21?$186

Top Losers

Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?$-400
Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-331
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$-294
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?$-237
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$-234
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?$-220
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 5-11?$-208
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$-200
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-174
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$-172

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.002
Sortino
-0.004
HHI
438
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.4%
Top-5 markets
38.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 490s — normal for humanCV 2.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.02
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.3%
Mid (20-55c)25.8%
High (>55c)19.9%

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 8:56:04 AM14 trades$2,2769 min
12/9/2025, 12:27:15 PM1 trades$1,9450 min
12/9/2025, 11:16:25 AM6 trades$1,7296 min
12/7/2025, 1:01:35 AM1 trades$1,6670 min
12/6/2025, 5:20:49 PM1 trades$1,3500 min
12/4/2025, 7:13:09 AM1 trades$1,0740 min
12/3/2025, 6:05:11 AM3 trades$9010 min
7/25/2025, 12:34:50 AM1 trades$8580 min
12/10/2025, 8:08:16 PM1 trades$8220 min
11/23/2025, 1:27:15 AM1 trades$7510 min
11/25/2025, 2:49:13 PM1 trades$7390 min
11/25/2025, 6:55:33 AM1 trades$7190 min
11/22/2025, 2:56:43 AM18 trades$7019 min
1/16/2026, 5:49:28 AM2 trades$6614 min
1/11/2026, 3:34:38 PM1 trades$6520 min
12/10/2025, 1:55:36 PM1 trades$6480 min
12/30/2025, 7:31:53 AM2 trades$6152 min
12/10/2025, 8:25:16 PM5 trades$6061 min
4/30/2026, 7:57:48 AM7 trades$5703 min
11/25/2025, 2:05:23 PM1 trades$5680 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-19
12-03
07-28
11-23
12-25
03-30
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 120 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.02/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.3 / M25.8 / H19.9