@MysticMike

#2,820,45654

0xa8cf138edf8cc482cfffed88a42e455ead8e6b0b

~49d· 126 markets · 386 tradesVol: $81,6532026-08-04 22:09:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (58/116)10/20
1.10x (win $6,826 / loss $6,186)3.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.84615/15
Sortino 1.14310/10
$+0.0390 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 540 (116 markets)9.8/10
16/36 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 164% of peak ($1,937 / $1,181)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
67% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

8
SPORTS#51,213$610Vol: $26,593
💰 FINANCE#651,331$-591Vol: $22,638
🏛️ POLITICS#1,629,139$-2,366Vol: $14,833
CRYPTO#29,740$1,037Vol: $10,587
📈 ECONOMICS#2,570$1,325Vol: $4,382
🎭 CULTURE#783,359$-107Vol: $1,953
💻 TECH#249,845$-106Vol: $389
📢 MENTIONS#169,117$-200Vol: $277

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-399
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$81,653
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
126
total markets
Trades
192B / 194S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $1,000
Week
$-34
Vol: $1,105
Month
$-52
Vol: $1,105
All Time
$-399
Vol: $81,653

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
57W / 59L events
Realized PnL
$-399
Win Rate
49%
57W / 59L
Profit Factor
1.1x
Avg Win
$118
Avg Loss
$-137

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,076 (5.2045277910096015% of PnL)

Top Winners

US-China trade deal before June?$863
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$720
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$493
Ethereum Up or Down on May 22?$400
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$373
US recession in 2025?$316
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?$255
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$230
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?$220
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?$215

Top Losers

Ethereum all time high in 2024?$-660
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$-620
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?$-564
Dogecoin above $0.40 on December 20?$-400
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$-300
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?$-300
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-300
Ethereum above $2,700 on May 23?$-250
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?$-250
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" this week? (February 1)$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.044
Sortino
0.051
HHI
387
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.041
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.2%
Top-5 markets
31.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 100s — normal for humanCV 1.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.69
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.3%
Mid (20-55c)47.9%
High (>55c)32.8%

Sessions

#12
5/7/2026, 4:21:20 AM7 trades$1,8651 min
5/12/2026, 8:06:36 AM37 trades$1,5804 min
7/24/2026, 8:39:19 AM5 trades$1,5641 min
5/11/2026, 3:04:32 AM10 trades$1,0070 min
12/2/2024, 11:41:23 AM5 trades$8744 min
12/29/2025, 8:32:09 AM3 trades$8666 min
6/14/2025, 1:08:47 AM5 trades$8007 min
1/4/2026, 7:12:01 AM3 trades$7204 min
4/18/2025, 7:41:09 AM4 trades$6385 min
12/31/2025, 10:01:33 AM5 trades$6354 min
5/12/2026, 8:19:44 AM11 trades$6110 min
6/24/2026, 6:41:56 AM6 trades$5751 min
12/16/2024, 4:20:22 PM2 trades$5503 min
7/29/2026, 2:03:39 AM4 trades$5240 min
3/24/2026, 7:22:09 AM1 trades$5000 min
12/16/2024, 2:48:54 PM3 trades$4242 min
5/19/2025, 2:00:25 AM4 trades$4102 min
12/2/2024, 3:22:10 PM3 trades$4001 min
12/9/2024, 7:40:44 AM2 trades$4000 min
1/21/2025, 7:55:57 AM1 trades$3500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-02
01-21
05-21
01-27
07-01
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.69/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L19.3 / M47.9 / H32.8