@Nagumo

#37,61426

0x17d363b2a2e656c24b3f3bd8e18317dced319147

~166d· 608 markets · 3410 tradesVol: $233,865 @flooroftests2026-08-04 18:13:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (161/527)0.3/20
1.07x (win $4,833 / loss $4,524)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3727/15
Sortino 0.6736.7/10
$+0.0136 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 1280 (527 markets)6.1/10
43/115 profitable days (37%)1.8/10
Max DD 87% of peak ($2,132 / $2,441)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+3,034
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
CRYPTO#14,931$3,029Vol: $169,637
SPORTS#1,737,830$-196Vol: $40,767
🎭 CULTURE#748,502$-35Vol: $3,871
📈 ECONOMICS#591,867$-9Vol: $2,545
🏛️ POLITICS#1,140,083$-5Vol: $1,987
💰 FINANCE#631,541$-97Vol: $1,778
🌤️ WEATHER#224,856$-4Vol: $74
💻 TECH#205,434$-2Vol: $60

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,034
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$233,865
Total Redeem
$60
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
608
total markets
Trades
2192B / 1218S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~166d

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $0
Week
$51
Vol: $310
Month
$35
Vol: $310
All Time
$3,034
Vol: $233,865

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
162W / 365L events
Realized PnL
$3,034
Win Rate
31%
162W / 365L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,386 (0.4568038365826728% of PnL)

Top Winners

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$522
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$465
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,400 on February 2?$398
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$389
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$292
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?$273
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?$144
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 23?$117
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 2?$114
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 2?$90

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-385
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$-275
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-255
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-241
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?$-203
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$-136
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-131
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?$-116
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-110
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.019
Sortino
0.032
HHI
129
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.6%
Top-5 markets
21.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.3
Active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.9

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — normal for humanCV 1.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active2.5 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.14
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.7%
Mid (20-55c)54.3%
High (>55c)8%

Sessions

#12
6/2/2026, 2:58:39 PM6 trades$3,0002 min
2/9/2026, 6:16:59 PM8 trades$2,4464 min
6/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM11 trades$2,0125 min
6/3/2026, 1:14:36 PM8 trades$1,8191 min
6/13/2026, 1:58:03 AM43 trades$1,70112 min
6/22/2026, 12:41:16 PM8 trades$1,6681 min
6/27/2026, 1:45:55 PM38 trades$1,5906 min
2/4/2026, 9:37:43 PM1 trades$1,0260 min
6/3/2026, 12:50:51 AM2 trades$9900 min
7/1/2026, 3:17:05 PM25 trades$9746 min
2/6/2026, 1:46:25 PM29 trades$94423 min
2/5/2026, 12:53:29 PM15 trades$92724 min
5/29/2026, 2:42:47 PM6 trades$8760 min
6/24/2026, 4:16:28 PM21 trades$8465 min
6/3/2026, 5:08:18 AM2 trades$8250 min
2/5/2026, 4:48:13 AM11 trades$78511 min
6/3/2026, 3:14:27 PM4 trades$7174 min
5/29/2026, 1:38:51 PM15 trades$6271 min
6/26/2026, 12:23:37 PM14 trades$6031 min
2/5/2026, 8:24:01 PM10 trades$5609 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-07
01-09
02-03
02-25
03-21
05-13
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 119 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.14/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.7 / M54.3 / H8