@NiceMonster

#2,592,5898

0x01f2f9d7dbbb655e5c1d34dad8fe9060c27e4876

~6d· 34 markets · 55 tradesVol: $25,1922026-08-04 21:24:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (5/30)0/20
0.79x (win $77 / loss $97)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.1639 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 874 (30 markets)8.1/10
1/6 profitable days (17%)0/10
Max DD 201% of peak ($41 / $20)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
84% entries < $0.20

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,533,708$-117Vol: $17,491
🎭 CULTURE#42,743$27Vol: $5,151
📈 ECONOMICS#593,152$-9Vol: $578
📢 MENTIONS#84,425$-1Vol: $500
₿ CRYPTO#1,038,795$-5Vol: $473
🌤️ WEATHER#187,207$-1Vol: $383
💰 FINANCE#551,455$-6Vol: $367
⚽ SPORTS#961,706$-1Vol: $250

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-113
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,192
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
38B / 17S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~6d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-113
Vol: $25,192

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
5W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-113
Win Rate
17%
5W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $61 (0.5405119152691968% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$31
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?$18
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?$13
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$11
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?$4

Top Losers

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$-30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$-10
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$-10
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-10
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$-6
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$-4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-4
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?$-3
Trump out as President by March 31?$-2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.175
Sortino
-0.298
HHI
1221
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.143
Kelly %
0.3%
Half-Kelly
0.2%
Top-1 market
23.9%
Top-5 markets
63.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
11
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 38s — normal for humanCV 1.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.6
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)84.2%
Mid (20-55c)5.3%
High (>55c)10.5%

Sessions

#12
3/10/2026, 8:52:21 PM27 trades$8617 min
6/21/2026, 1:30:32 PM14 trades$834 min
3/10/2026, 6:55:35 PM3 trades$391 min
3/12/2026, 6:46:39 AM1 trades$360 min
3/15/2026, 7:31:31 PM1 trades$300 min
3/11/2026, 6:42:45 AM3 trades$225 min
3/10/2026, 4:42:03 PM2 trades$192 min
3/10/2026, 6:14:11 AM1 trades$100 min
3/10/2026, 7:07:33 AM1 trades$50 min
3/27/2026, 7:48:29 PM1 trades$50 min
3/11/2026, 10:32:31 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-10
03-11
03-12
03-15
03-27
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 101 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.6/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L84.2 / M5.3 / H10.5