@Nicoledxb
#2,939,33390x5b81923d7d5e618a74b91bf79db3ef5b4b5cb08a
~36d· 73 markets · 300 tradesVol: $36,1892026-08-06 15:54:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
22% (15/68)0/20
0.61x (win $2,400 / loss $3,947)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5180/15
Sortino -4.1170/10
$-0.6879 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 742 (68 markets)8.8/10
7/32 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 223% of peak ($2,801 / $1,254)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
57% entries < $0.20
Categories
6⚽ SPORTS#1,765,827$-287Vol: $16,518
🏛️ POLITICS#1,600,366$-537Vol: $13,645
🎭 CULTURE#793,039$-174Vol: $3,287
📈 ECONOMICS#670,979$-239Vol: $2,254
💰 FINANCE#16,607$121Vol: $273
📢 MENTIONS#11,365$33Vol: $212
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,083
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,189
Total Redeem
$227
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
73
total markets
Trades
123B / 177S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-6
Vol: $0
Month
$-8
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,083
Vol: $36,189
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
22%
15W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$-1,083
Win Rate
22%
15W / 53L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$160
Avg Loss
$-84
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,011 (1.8569291709370934% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1,625
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$233
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$153
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$103
Cabo Verde to score first vs. Uruguay?$85
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score$33
Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 2.5$31
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$27
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5$22
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-680
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-403
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-400
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-400
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-400
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-200
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-176
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$-140
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$-100
Major US official out by April 30?$-84
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.130
Sortino
-0.227
HHI
1301
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.485
Kelly %
4.7%
Half-Kelly
2.4%
Top-1 market
21.3%
Top-5 markets
69.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.4
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 115s — normal for humanCV 1.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.74
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)56.9%
Mid (20-55c)32.5%
High (>55c)10.6%
Sessions
#124/30/2026, 7:17:18 PM5 trades$1,5621 min
5/14/2026, 6:10:34 PM25 trades$1,0288 min
4/10/2026, 3:47:37 PM2 trades$8320 min
4/8/2026, 6:50:23 PM3 trades$8080 min
4/2/2026, 8:31:11 PM4 trades$7891 min
5/6/2026, 12:20:18 PM2 trades$7690 min
4/30/2026, 7:28:24 PM20 trades$7535 min
4/10/2026, 4:58:33 PM12 trades$7105 min
4/7/2026, 7:23:53 PM17 trades$5314 min
4/14/2026, 9:04:53 AM3 trades$4330 min
6/25/2026, 7:21:22 PM12 trades$4227 min
5/1/2026, 5:42:50 PM11 trades$3634 min
4/2/2026, 8:42:25 PM2 trades$3570 min
7/10/2026, 9:04:38 PM10 trades$3520 min
4/24/2026, 5:30:54 PM5 trades$3001 min
4/2/2026, 8:48:25 PM8 trades$2930 min
4/19/2026, 4:16:24 AM6 trades$2290 min
4/26/2026, 9:12:50 AM5 trades$2230 min
4/3/2026, 8:45:37 AM5 trades$2022 min
4/9/2026, 7:13:39 AM2 trades$2000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
04-09
04-26
05-14
06-21
06-26
07-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 87 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.74/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L56.9 / M32.5 / H10.6