@Nightmouse

#2,628,5648

0xd99f368555fe7100c2c7794a99d20cfdd5e6dc99

~39d· 67 markets · 337 tradesVol: $20,2322026-08-04 19:45:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

13% (8/61)0/20
0.54x (win $440 / loss $812)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.8810/15
Sortino -4.7150/10
$-0.3343 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 947 (61 markets)7.8/10
4/25 profitable days (16%)0/10
Max DD 463% of peak ($474 / $102)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
78% entries < $0.20

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,528,357$-109Vol: $11,590
📈 ECONOMICS#10,428$136Vol: $2,743
⚽ SPORTS#1,630,598$-66Vol: $1,943
₿ CRYPTO#1,411,421$-60Vol: $1,529
🎭 CULTURE#759,711$-48Vol: $1,234
📢 MENTIONS#13,751$22Vol: $933
💰 FINANCE#559,654$-7Vol: $240
🌤️ WEATHER#194,572$-1Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-133
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,232
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
67
total markets
Trades
216B / 121S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-133
Vol: $20,232

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
13%
8W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$-133
Win Rate
13%
8W / 53L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$55
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $387 (2.9080321586896085% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?$200
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$108
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?$78
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$4

Top Losers

Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$-143
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 10-15%?$-120
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 5-10%?$-56
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-50
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$-44
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-40
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-33
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$-26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-21
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.199
Sortino
-0.254
HHI
1112
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.280
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.1%
Top-5 markets
66.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 847s — normal for humanCV 2.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.61
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)78.2%
Mid (20-55c)6.9%
High (>55c)14.8%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 5:58:36 PM2 trades$2,0700 min
4/19/2026, 5:46:26 AM25 trades$1,4783 min
5/17/2026, 7:40:53 PM4 trades$1,1701 min
5/4/2026, 9:40:42 AM2 trades$7450 min
4/4/2026, 3:18:19 AM2 trades$5000 min
5/20/2026, 4:06:16 PM9 trades$3105 min
5/23/2026, 6:19:35 PM5 trades$3025 min
4/17/2026, 12:47:40 PM1 trades$2420 min
3/31/2026, 5:37:55 PM4 trades$2001 min
5/20/2026, 5:10:03 PM7 trades$1350 min
5/12/2026, 5:22:24 AM4 trades$1342 min
5/11/2026, 6:30:01 PM8 trades$1272 min
4/19/2026, 8:47:40 AM4 trades$1140 min
4/6/2026, 5:39:05 AM10 trades$1110 min
5/24/2026, 6:20:07 AM3 trades$1000 min
5/11/2026, 4:03:28 PM6 trades$971 min
5/13/2026, 4:32:17 PM2 trades$930 min
5/11/2026, 2:54:18 PM1 trades$900 min
4/29/2026, 8:50:10 PM6 trades$722 min
6/28/2026, 2:21:13 PM8 trades$656 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-31
04-25
05-02
05-09
05-15
05-24
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 74 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.61/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L78.2 / M6.9 / H14.8