@Nimrodb

#154,03457

0x8eda5e3e5113c2011495c9439b914d6ff4ab51ba

~10d· 7 markets · 42 tradesVol: $272,9492026-08-06 08:43:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (4/6)18.3/20
3.16x (win $2,232 / loss $705)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.2403 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 6609 (6 markets)0/10
4/6 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 46% of peak ($702 / $1,527)4.8/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+266
Contrarian
73% entries < $0.55
Consistent
4/6 profitable days

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#37,573$276Vol: $272,744
SPORTS#1,353,505$-10Vol: $205

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$266
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$272,949
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
7
total markets
Trades
11B / 31S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$266
Vol: $272,949

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
4W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$266
Win Rate
67%
4W / 2L
Profit Factor
3.16x
Avg Win
$558
Avg Loss
$-353

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,229 (8.37633883272577% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2,192
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?$30
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$8
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$-665
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.258
Sortino
0.575
HHI
1668
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.424
Kelly %
46.7%
Half-Kelly
23.3%
Top-1 market
36.2%
Top-5 markets
56.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.7h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
13
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16520s — normal for humanCV 1.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal2% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.1%
Mid (20-55c)63.6%
High (>55c)27.3%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 1:26:22 PM28 trades$3,8050 min
2/18/2026, 10:50:10 PM3 trades$2,5352 min
3/4/2026, 1:15:23 PM1 trades$1,9990 min
2/28/2026, 7:08:51 AM1 trades$1,9670 min
2/18/2026, 6:14:50 PM1 trades$1,4580 min
2/19/2026, 6:03:58 AM1 trades$1,0670 min
2/18/2026, 11:55:08 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
2/19/2026, 4:04:48 PM1 trades$5000 min
6/19/2025, 11:26:54 PM1 trades$400 min
1/27/2025, 3:05:13 AM1 trades$270 min
11/30/2024, 2:59:30 PM1 trades$200 min
6/25/2025, 10:35:47 AM1 trades$100 min
1/6/2026, 4:35:57 PM1 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-30
01-27
06-19
06-25
02-18
02-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 387 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 2/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L9.1 / M63.6 / H27.3