NixNov008

@NixNov008

#3,010,78438

0xa5303c3d6321892667739ea611f2f6cb8a5188f6

~140d· 5753 markets · 20173 tradesVol: $759,2632026-08-05 01:04:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (4767/5735)20/20
0.53x (win $11,488 / loss $21,722)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7370/15
Sortino -2.7460/10
$-0.0311 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 63 (5735 markets)10/10
87/138 profitable days (63%)8.3/10
Max DD 16501% of peak ($10,872 / $66)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Whale
$329,483 invested
Consistent
87/138 profitable days
Win Streak
31 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#296,575$-706Vol: $632,644
🎭 CULTURE#805,038$-466Vol: $37,922
SPORTS#1,819,731$-833Vol: $27,333
CRYPTO#1,429,217$-70Vol: $8,579
🏛️ POLITICS#67,048$91Vol: $7,702
💰 FINANCE#16,661$118Vol: $6,382
💻 TECH#13,117$20Vol: $5,279
📈 ECONOMICS#41,836$10Vol: $241

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,413
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$759,263
Total Redeem
$216
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
5753
total markets
Trades
10232B / 9941S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~140d

Periods

#2
Today
$-8
Vol: $0
Week
$66
Vol: $8,082
Month
$-506
Vol: $11,526
All Time
$-2,413
Vol: $759,263

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
4761W / 967L events
Realized PnL
$-2,416
Win Rate
83%
4761W / 967L
Profit Factor
0.53x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-44

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $601 (0.24888984534397204% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?$282
Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$161
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$158
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 3?$118
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$106
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 25?$97
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$95
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C on April 1?$92
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 27?$85
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 8?$84

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-4,495
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-2,737
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?$-2,178
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Austin FC: O/U 1.5$-600
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 1?$-551
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?$-538
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?$-451
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on April 3?$-444
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 11?$-248
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 8?$-220

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.143
Sortino
-0.093
HHI
6
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
2.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
41.0
Active
Markets / Day
11.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.6m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
17 min
Avg Trades / Session
56.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 166s — normal for humanCV 1.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock41 trades/day — high frequency12 markets/day — mass coverage41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.53
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.6%
Mid (20-55c)5.4%
High (>55c)90.1%

Sessions

#12
4/26/2026, 8:54:24 PM93 trades$34,7439 min
4/2/2026, 3:31:55 AM216 trades$6,77599 min
4/29/2026, 4:46:42 AM153 trades$5,83125 min
5/3/2026, 2:35:06 PM3 trades$4,3570 min
5/1/2026, 7:30:12 AM140 trades$4,04430 min
4/3/2026, 2:39:51 PM93 trades$3,79955 min
4/25/2026, 7:53:30 PM117 trades$3,53035 min
4/3/2026, 6:36:15 AM98 trades$3,36438 min
4/28/2026, 8:05:32 PM127 trades$3,28925 min
4/29/2026, 6:25:24 PM56 trades$3,2144 min
4/26/2026, 7:27:00 PM105 trades$2,98939 min
4/3/2026, 9:52:13 AM76 trades$2,35738 min
3/8/2026, 5:42:21 AM45 trades$2,2504 min
4/29/2026, 1:05:16 PM54 trades$2,24212 min
5/8/2026, 6:35:47 AM111 trades$2,23126 min
4/24/2026, 7:06:16 PM57 trades$2,16025 min
3/12/2026, 3:45:33 PM27 trades$2,0090 min
4/30/2026, 10:46:12 AM103 trades$1,96537 min
4/25/2026, 7:09:54 AM67 trades$1,93022 min
5/13/2026, 9:03:56 PM6 trades$1,8860 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
03-25
05-03
05-27
06-20
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 105 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
58% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.6 / M5.4 / H90.1