Nopants

@Nopants

#63,57324

0x94a5c8d234ca67c4fba9ee99619c88f547654eb8

~224d· 1709 markets · 7021 tradesVol: $974,995 @Nopantspoly2026-08-04 14:06:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (827/1665)9.8/20
0.58x (win $57,694 / loss $98,721)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2090/15
Sortino -1.2390/10
$-0.1508 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 351 (1665 markets)10/10
87/185 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 5991% of peak ($51,192 / $855)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+1,547
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
Whale
$272,010 invested
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#20,775$2,099Vol: $818,190
🏛️ POLITICS#38,319$266Vol: $53,571
📈 ECONOMICS#638,177$-30Vol: $23,810
🎭 CULTURE#768,289$-62Vol: $12,657
💰 FINANCE#31,703$33Vol: $12,477
📢 MENTIONS#9,672$44Vol: $9,007
💻 TECH#253,260$-213Vol: $1,368
🌤️ WEATHER#41,237$2Vol: $112

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,522
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$974,995
Total Redeem
$12,073
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1709
total markets
Trades
5131B / 1890S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~224d

Periods

#2
Today
$-64
Vol: $0
Week
$-90
Vol: $1,576
Month
$-55
Vol: $6,531
All Time
$1,522
Vol: $974,995

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
827W / 838L events
Realized PnL
$1,547
Win Rate
50%
827W / 838L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$70
Avg Loss
$-123

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,894 (10.275950578331793% of PnL)

Top Winners

Worst Cup: Fakers FC vs. Infamous FC$7,299
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7,203
Will Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$1,392
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?$1,200
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$901
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5$755
Spread: Eyüpspor (-1.5)$751
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$726
Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5$676
Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?$530

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-46,552
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?$-5,539
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?$-5,422
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)$-766
Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)$-710
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)$-637
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$-629
Will Inter Miami CF vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?$-562
CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5$-522
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5$-521

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.063
Sortino
-0.047
HHI
429
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.163
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18%
Top-5 markets
35.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.9
Active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.2m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 304s — normal for humanCV 4.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active3.4 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.98
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.1%
Mid (20-55c)41.4%
High (>55c)48.5%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 1:07:10 PM2 trades$12,2810 min
6/6/2026, 3:51:09 PM6 trades$9,9315 min
6/28/2026, 1:57:37 PM23 trades$8,75911 min
7/7/2026, 7:00:41 PM33 trades$7,72015 min
7/4/2026, 10:07:02 PM2 trades$7,5000 min
6/30/2026, 11:08:46 AM85 trades$5,38961 min
6/24/2026, 9:25:44 AM7 trades$5,22317 min
5/22/2026, 1:43:51 PM4 trades$4,7511 min
6/12/2026, 7:53:03 PM5 trades$4,5601 min
7/4/2026, 9:55:04 PM4 trades$3,8112 min
6/20/2026, 12:27:43 PM3 trades$3,6063 min
5/16/2026, 4:26:49 PM20 trades$3,4829 min
6/30/2026, 7:16:47 AM1 trades$3,3980 min
5/23/2026, 8:54:06 AM6 trades$3,0000 min
6/28/2026, 1:22:32 PM20 trades$2,9879 min
4/24/2026, 8:12:48 AM4 trades$2,7891 min
5/18/2026, 2:11:31 PM10 trades$2,7099 min
3/19/2026, 7:28:53 AM2 trades$2,5802 min
5/19/2026, 7:31:58 PM3 trades$2,4371 min
5/13/2026, 2:09:04 PM51 trades$2,2857 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-15
09-22
02-28
03-30
05-02
06-08
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 58 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.98/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.1 / M41.4 / H48.5