@NotTheSharpestTool
#41,103210x626ecb3e147226e19aa6a14d99e6dfa02848fa46
~50d· 196 markets · 5727 tradesVol: $373,9862026-08-04 19:20:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
41% (79/194)5.4/20
0.63x (win $19,268 / loss $30,769)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1570/15
Sortino -4.6500/10
$-0.0707 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 648 (194 markets)9.3/10
22/40 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 524% of peak ($14,216 / $2,715)0/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+2,610
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Whale
$162,755 invested
High Roller
$3,130/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7⚽ SPORTS#1,874,421$-5,303Vol: $168,984
📈 ECONOMICS#514$12,687Vol: $99,042
₿ CRYPTO#1,657,183$-2,638Vol: $36,089
🏛️ POLITICS#1,628,602$-2,610Vol: $27,531
💰 FINANCE#654,377$-1,081Vol: $22,761
🎭 CULTURE#3,591$1,636Vol: $19,349
💻 TECH#15,245$15Vol: $230
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2,706
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$373,986
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
196
total markets
Trades
3427B / 2300S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d
Periods
#2Today
$83
Vol: $0
Week
$96
Vol: $0
Month
$175
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,706
Vol: $373,986
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
41%
79W / 115L events
Realized PnL
$2,610
Win Rate
41%
79W / 115L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$244
Avg Loss
$-288
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,189 (3.5204749388893575% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$3,732
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$3,510
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$1,947
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$1,805
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$1,619
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1,356
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?$945
Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?$567
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$474
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$435
Top Losers
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$-10,049
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-4,371
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$-2,077
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?$-1,216
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-1,154
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$-1,108
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$-1,010
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$-870
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$-856
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$-725
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.215
Sortino
-0.206
HHI
468
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.083
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.7%
Top-5 markets
43.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
110.1
Very active
Markets / Day
3.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.3m
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.9
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 159s — normal for humanCV 3.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock110 trades/day — automation3.8 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
27.95
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)32.8%
Mid (20-55c)30.2%
High (>55c)37%
Sessions
#126/7/2026, 12:59:33 PM3 trades$7,2720 min
6/7/2026, 12:33:49 PM6 trades$5,7001 min
7/24/2026, 3:30:54 PM78 trades$5,5574 min
6/12/2026, 2:56:55 PM140 trades$4,36376 min
7/5/2026, 5:40:17 PM6 trades$4,0765 min
6/29/2026, 4:45:44 PM52 trades$3,86951 min
6/5/2026, 2:05:09 PM20 trades$3,18313 min
6/13/2026, 9:38:00 AM10 trades$2,9262 min
7/22/2026, 10:39:42 PM9 trades$2,7766 min
6/11/2026, 11:16:10 AM6 trades$2,6832 min
6/5/2026, 2:33:57 PM26 trades$2,54513 min
7/5/2026, 3:36:53 PM23 trades$2,05216 min
6/5/2026, 5:39:27 PM5 trades$2,0000 min
6/17/2026, 2:49:08 PM4 trades$2,0001 min
7/1/2026, 2:41:56 PM22 trades$1,85912 min
7/16/2026, 7:40:22 PM8 trades$1,8238 min
6/14/2026, 11:24:36 AM26 trades$1,7767 min
6/26/2026, 7:58:29 PM17 trades$1,7246 min
7/16/2026, 7:09:35 PM10 trades$1,6816 min
7/21/2026, 8:56:21 PM1 trades$1,5600 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-03
06-11
06-17
06-25
07-02
07-10
07-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.95/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L32.8 / M30.2 / H37