Numero8

@Numero8

#3,044,42924

0xee2a679db53c99da4834b9a0d5193fa4de43729b

~193d· 13971 markets · 26151 tradesVol: $616,1302026-08-04 21:49:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (7773/13962)12.8/20
0.90x (win $51,857 / loss $57,644)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2020/15
Sortino -5.2000/10
$-0.0400 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 390 (13962 markets)10/10
56/178 profitable days (31%)0.4/10
Max DD 2038% of peak ($6,086 / $299)0/10

Badges

3
Whale
$144,758 invested
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,663,247$-3,708Vol: $407,651
🌤️ WEATHER#295,636$-527Vol: $78,126
SPORTS#1,806,335$-591Vol: $73,163
🏛️ POLITICS#1,586,076$-353Vol: $46,627
💰 FINANCE#573,369$-10Vol: $10,000
🎭 CULTURE#685,311$-10Vol: $429
💻 TECH#212,714$-4Vol: $135

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,203
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$616,130
Total Redeem
$29,850
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
13971
total markets
Trades
19897B / 6254S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~193d

Periods

#2
Today
$159
Vol: $5,055
Week
$288
Vol: $7,904
Month
$251
Vol: $8,245
All Time
$-5,203
Vol: $616,130

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
7773W / 6189L events
Realized PnL
$-5,210
Win Rate
56%
7773W / 6189L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $678 (0.1300780080311418% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 11?$252
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$224
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5$202
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer$194
XRP Up or Down - March 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$186
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$185
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)$180
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$177
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$176
Spread: Germany (-5.5)$171

Top Losers

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-440
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-210
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$-200
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-161
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 14?$-147
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 13?$-138
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$-136
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 14?$-111
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$-100
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.219
Sortino
-0.276
HHI
2
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.040
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.3%
Top-5 markets
1.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
106.7
Very active
Markets / Day
57.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
11.8m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.2

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 106s — normal for humanCV 0.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock107 trades/day — automation57 markets/day — mass coverage24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.88
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.9%
Mid (20-55c)32.3%
High (>55c)60.8%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 7:34:46 PM10 trades$10,0382 min
4/30/2026, 7:42:56 PM4 trades$5,0060 min
4/30/2026, 3:13:40 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
7/4/2026, 3:20:10 AM23 trades$2,9577 min
4/30/2026, 8:02:00 PM21 trades$2,4715 min
2/19/2026, 5:57:02 PM160 trades$1,788113 min
6/14/2026, 12:05:13 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/14/2026, 6:49:09 PM40 trades$93223 min
6/18/2026, 2:27:53 PM16 trades$6921 min
5/29/2026, 9:24:03 PM4 trades$6471 min
6/14/2026, 9:44:55 PM41 trades$63624 min
6/10/2026, 1:04:33 PM97 trades$5808 min
3/11/2026, 9:51:05 PM22 trades$55616 min
3/11/2026, 5:56:13 PM25 trades$49824 min
6/1/2026, 9:01:35 AM4 trades$4840 min
4/28/2026, 9:01:42 PM7 trades$4654 min
6/16/2026, 7:09:41 PM6 trades$4480 min
2/28/2026, 8:25:27 PM4 trades$3873 min
7/8/2026, 3:58:35 PM6 trades$3190 min
4/25/2026, 10:01:44 AM32 trades$3156 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-03
01-12
02-10
03-11
04-25
06-16
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 192 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
16% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.9 / M32.3 / H60.8