@OGUR
#80,615770x2c4e99fc94a89efab46ce3909a52d11573d49e0b
~53d· 100 markets · 497 tradesVol: $32,2032026-08-04 20:08:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (41/86)8.8/20
3.30x (win $2,667 / loss $809)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.97015/15
Sortino 21.83810/10
$+0.1705 per $1 invested8.5/10
HHI 1639 (86 markets)4.3/10
19/38 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 18% of peak ($338 / $1,902)10/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+1,016
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 7.1 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 18%
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#21,829$733Vol: $27,137
💰 FINANCE#17,150$111Vol: $3,138
₿ CRYPTO#1,119,026$-9Vol: $81
📈 ECONOMICS#534,057$-2Vol: $7
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,016
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,203
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
100
total markets
Trades
245B / 252S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~53d
Periods
#2Today
$9
Vol: $0
Week
$8
Vol: $0
Month
$-10
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,016
Vol: $32,203
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
41W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$1,016
Win Rate
48%
41W / 45L
Profit Factor
3.3x
Avg Win
$65
Avg Loss
$-19
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,304 (1.2826223831260821% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?$545
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$433
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$326
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$220
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$204
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$186
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$143
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$128
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?$100
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$52
Top Losers
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?$-249
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$-120
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?$-119
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$-42
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$-39
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?$-29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?$-25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?$-21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$-20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$-19
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.308
Sortino
0.865
HHI
3830
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.140
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
60.2%
Top-5 markets
82.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 134s — normal for humanCV 2.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.1
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21.2%
Mid (20-55c)35.1%
High (>55c)43.7%
Sessions
#125/27/2026, 7:40:55 PM4 trades$1,5850 min
4/19/2026, 5:44:36 PM12 trades$1,4292 min
5/27/2026, 7:25:41 PM6 trades$1,1810 min
4/21/2026, 7:01:24 AM6 trades$1,1171 min
7/21/2026, 5:16:24 PM24 trades$9316 min
2/26/2026, 6:50:32 PM1 trades$9200 min
6/15/2026, 8:40:28 PM1 trades$8740 min
4/2/2026, 6:57:51 PM30 trades$8055 min
3/12/2026, 7:44:09 AM4 trades$7632 min
3/23/2026, 1:07:45 PM7 trades$6084 min
3/31/2026, 12:18:39 PM5 trades$5903 min
4/8/2026, 11:20:27 AM6 trades$5582 min
5/7/2026, 1:29:56 PM12 trades$5342 min
4/6/2026, 10:52:05 AM4 trades$5112 min
4/8/2026, 6:15:15 PM24 trades$4557 min
4/8/2026, 6:55:49 PM8 trades$4055 min
2/10/2026, 10:07:21 AM4 trades$3604 min
4/8/2026, 11:28:05 AM4 trades$3370 min
3/28/2026, 8:08:11 AM1 trades$2940 min
4/8/2026, 11:38:43 AM11 trades$2920 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-28
02-07
03-06
03-15
03-31
04-18
07-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 7 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.2 / M35.1 / H43.7