Ol3eron

@Ol3eron

#2,925,7797

0x95b356a9caf78f04996d907d9994e08f98fbbfeb

~16d· 20 markets · 164 tradesVol: $52,0452026-08-03 16:52:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (6/18)1.7/20
0.42x (win $879 / loss $2,072)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.9240/15
Sortino -5.4350/10
$-0.2731 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1410 (18 markets)5.5/10
3/12 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,848 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
62% entries < $0.55

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,771,406$-319Vol: $47,359
CRYPTO#163,948$26Vol: $1,918
🏛️ POLITICS#1,614,306$-1,025Vol: $1,625
🌤️ WEATHER#3,725$312Vol: $1,143

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,005
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$52,045
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
55B / 109S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$321
Vol: $157
Week
$321
Vol: $951
Month
$307
Vol: $993
All Time
$-1,005
Vol: $52,045

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
6W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-1,033
Win Rate
33%
6W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$147
Avg Loss
$-345

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $851 (0.8237640248211503% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$656
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$138
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$57
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$19
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-1,041
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-569
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-200
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$-133
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-126
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.247
Sortino
-0.235
HHI
1155
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.297
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.5%
Top-5 markets
65.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
33s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
27
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 33s — normal for humanCV 1.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.22
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.6%
Mid (20-55c)38.2%
High (>55c)38.2%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 12:28:34 PM9 trades$2,0843 min
6/18/2026, 11:02:31 AM4 trades$1,1150 min
6/14/2026, 4:48:01 PM6 trades$1,0332 min
7/8/2026, 7:33:34 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/18/2026, 10:51:53 AM10 trades$7125 min
7/13/2026, 2:58:22 PM2 trades$6240 min
8/2/2026, 9:19:42 AM52 trades$6021 min
6/11/2026, 6:55:36 PM3 trades$3050 min
7/5/2026, 8:03:41 PM4 trades$2580 min
6/20/2026, 4:29:47 PM14 trades$2360 min
6/30/2026, 3:55:14 AM1 trades$2000 min
7/4/2026, 8:05:29 AM2 trades$1680 min
7/1/2026, 7:41:02 AM2 trades$1590 min
7/6/2026, 9:04:43 PM1 trades$1440 min
6/27/2026, 6:40:34 AM1 trades$1170 min
6/20/2026, 4:14:05 PM7 trades$1150 min
6/18/2026, 8:09:53 AM1 trades$1080 min
6/20/2026, 4:08:38 PM7 trades$850 min
8/2/2026, 7:37:08 PM5 trades$830 min
6/20/2026, 4:03:04 PM5 trades$750 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-11
06-18
06-20
06-27
07-01
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.22/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L23.6 / M38.2 / H38.2