@OliverEsi

#1,768,08675

0xb312a5a1ce55a8cc78daf546b0d7e5d0313a0f02

~23d· 60 markets · 122 tradesVol: $2,5632026-08-04 19:59:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

97% (57/59)20/20
1.56x (win $14 / loss $9)9.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.16215/15
Sortino 2.59410/10
$+0.0059 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 320 (59 markets)10/10
18/20 profitable days (90%)10/10
Max DD 165% of peak ($8 / $5)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 97%
Consistent
18/20 profitable days
Win Streak
28 wins in a row

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#224,856$-4Vol: $2,154
🎭 CULTURE#661,710$-7Vol: $96
₿ CRYPTO#596,048$0Vol: $87
🏛️ POLITICS#296,831$2Vol: $69
⚽ SPORTS#529,150$0Vol: $61
💻 TECH#76,410$0Vol: $50
💰 FINANCE#159,975$1Vol: $26

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,563
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
60
total markets
Trades
65B / 57S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $15
Month
$1
Vol: $15
All Time
$-8
Vol: $2,563

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
97%
57W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$-8
Win Rate
97%
57W / 2L
Profit Factor
1.56x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.2712066905615293% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2?$1
Pakistan military action against Kabul by March 31?$1
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?$1
Will MrBeast's next video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 4?$1
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?$1
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on April 2?$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 3?$0
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 1?$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 3?$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 1?$0

Top Losers

Will MrBeast's next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4?$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.110
Sortino
252.000
HHI
314
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.3%
Top-5 markets
28.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.7h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10218s — normal for humanCV 0.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.07
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)96.9%

Sessions

#12
5/29/2026, 7:24:11 PM3 trades$870 min
6/18/2026, 10:50:25 PM2 trades$700 min
4/1/2026, 4:10:37 PM8 trades$470 min
4/1/2026, 1:39:49 PM4 trades$342 min
4/1/2026, 6:18:27 AM4 trades$305 min
4/1/2026, 11:16:35 AM3 trades$300 min
4/15/2026, 1:27:46 AM2 trades$280 min
4/14/2026, 4:03:09 AM2 trades$270 min
3/25/2026, 12:01:07 PM2 trades$270 min
6/28/2026, 3:45:25 AM2 trades$260 min
4/1/2026, 10:27:37 AM3 trades$240 min
3/21/2026, 9:08:05 AM2 trades$234 min
3/26/2026, 12:00:25 AM2 trades$220 min
6/25/2026, 12:40:20 PM2 trades$220 min
6/29/2026, 2:28:41 AM2 trades$220 min
4/1/2026, 9:21:33 AM2 trades$200 min
4/1/2026, 12:24:51 PM2 trades$200 min
4/1/2026, 12:51:05 PM3 trades$200 min
3/27/2026, 9:08:35 PM2 trades$202 min
3/31/2026, 12:03:53 PM2 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-20
03-23
03-26
03-31
04-03
05-29
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
84% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.07/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.1 / M0 / H96.9