OneStepDaily

@OneStepDaily

#2,866,95058

0x00965bc7ce0115b88febfc99759798c503c30d85

~115d· 1545 markets · 4538 tradesVol: $203,907 @ihsanmhlsn222026-08-04 19:47:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (808/1545)11.1/20
1.10x (win $9,933 / loss $9,045)3.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.26015/15
Sortino 4.52010/10
$+0.0366 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 31 (1545 markets)10/10
48/115 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 52% of peak ($462 / $888)3.6/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,582,499$-426Vol: $167,413
🎭 CULTURE#726,658$-20Vol: $15,544
SPORTS#1,624,575$-62Vol: $8,053
🏛️ POLITICS#1,119,405$-4Vol: $6,074
💰 FINANCE#55,721$10Vol: $3,463

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-572
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$203,907
Total Redeem
$3
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1545
total markets
Trades
2318B / 2220S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~115d

Periods

#2
Today
$38
Vol: $1,578
Week
$47
Vol: $3,263
Month
$17
Vol: $3,729
All Time
$-572
Vol: $203,907

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
808W / 737L events
Realized PnL
$-572
Win Rate
52%
808W / 737L
Profit Factor
1.1x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $827 (1.4474830717547635% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$352
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$265
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$210
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$201
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$196
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?$174
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$138
Solana Up or Down - July 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$134
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$128
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$124

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$-158
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$-150
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$-150
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$-148
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$-120
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3AM ET$-108
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-106
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$-103
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$-101

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.118
Sortino
0.215
HHI
29
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.036
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
6.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.4
Active
Markets / Day
7.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.0m
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
21 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.3

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 120s — normal for humanCV 1.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency7.6 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.94
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.4%
Mid (20-55c)52.8%
High (>55c)35.8%

Sessions

#12
2/13/2026, 12:45:03 AM31 trades$1,96039 min
4/26/2026, 5:20:48 AM237 trades$1,825147 min
2/13/2026, 4:19:25 PM24 trades$1,62946 min
3/11/2026, 8:36:59 AM25 trades$98141 min
2/14/2026, 7:28:11 AM15 trades$95720 min
7/28/2026, 5:46:49 AM37 trades$7197 min
2/13/2026, 6:09:23 AM5 trades$6453 min
7/28/2026, 4:42:26 PM19 trades$6431 min
2/13/2026, 12:05:41 PM4 trades$60810 min
2/13/2026, 11:36:15 AM8 trades$58924 min
2/14/2026, 8:40:49 AM8 trades$49512 min
3/11/2026, 5:42:19 AM24 trades$46736 min
2/12/2026, 11:53:19 AM11 trades$46217 min
7/28/2026, 7:20:25 AM29 trades$4539 min
2/15/2026, 10:42:43 AM21 trades$42928 min
3/11/2026, 7:38:29 AM21 trades$42927 min
7/28/2026, 6:26:37 AM31 trades$4254 min
3/23/2026, 1:35:43 AM13 trades$41126 min
2/28/2026, 4:33:13 AM32 trades$40347 min
5/6/2026, 2:28:08 PM46 trades$36043 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-14
02-18
03-09
03-28
05-11
07-04
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.94/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L11.4 / M52.8 / H35.8