OnlyLuckNoBrain

@OnlyLuckNoBrain

#5,56869

0x6a8d1709bfb718d8555d315a983c4816278350f9

~113d· 6539 markets · 61752 tradesVol: $2,687,3142026-08-05 02:49:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (2958/6518)7.7/20
1.22x (win $120,598 / loss $98,868)5.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.67115/15
Sortino 12.53810/10
$+0.1050 per $1 invested5.3/10
HHI 6 (6518 markets)10/10
58/109 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 19% of peak ($4,390 / $22,541)10/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+30,191
Lottery Player
45% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 9.5 entries/market
Whale
$206,951 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 19%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#49$30,332Vol: $2,640,908
🎭 CULTURE#721,888$-19Vol: $18,289
💰 FINANCE#590,891$-17Vol: $14,280
CRYPTO#1,369,122$-43Vol: $8,560
🏛️ POLITICS#170,691$10Vol: $3,524
📈 ECONOMICS#118,388$1Vol: $1,695
SPORTS#1,080,236$-2Vol: $54
📢 MENTIONS#92,807$-2Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$30,259
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,687,314
Total Redeem
$10
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6539
total markets
Trades
48674B / 13078S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~113d

Periods

#2
Today
$61
Vol: $774
Week
$730
Vol: $25,447
Month
$1,625
Vol: $36,596
All Time
$30,259
Vol: $2,687,314

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
2958W / 3560L events
Realized PnL
$30,191
Win Rate
45%
2958W / 3560L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,520 (0.44782445385282427% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?$7,955
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 5?$3,147
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on May 6?$2,418
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?$1,017
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 7?$848
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?$822
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 2?$796
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 12?$781
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 8?$755
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 11?$748

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 12?$-447

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.191
Sortino
0.561
HHI
4
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.105
Kelly %
0.4%
Half-Kelly
0.2%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
125.5
Very active
Markets / Day
13.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
100 min
Avg Trades / Session
162.4

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 1.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock126 trades/day — automation13 markets/day — mass coverage82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.46
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)44.9%
Mid (20-55c)26.1%
High (>55c)28.9%

Sessions

#12
5/4/2026, 6:05:52 PM590 trades$3,401309 min
5/7/2026, 10:49:45 AM56 trades$3,22437 min
5/5/2026, 6:02:08 AM325 trades$2,558159 min
5/1/2026, 7:27:50 AM294 trades$2,070193 min
5/28/2026, 8:32:10 AM12 trades$2,0190 min
4/29/2026, 5:57:50 AM290 trades$2,011176 min
4/26/2026, 5:48:20 AM264 trades$1,595184 min
6/8/2026, 6:08:30 AM21 trades$1,52913 min
4/26/2026, 9:53:38 AM287 trades$1,499181 min
4/28/2026, 8:49:58 PM205 trades$1,438122 min
4/29/2026, 9:50:30 PM231 trades$1,329147 min
4/27/2026, 12:40:16 PM154 trades$1,302121 min
4/29/2026, 9:50:28 AM182 trades$1,276118 min
5/5/2026, 9:28:28 AM207 trades$1,260101 min
4/27/2026, 5:51:20 AM219 trades$1,023140 min
5/8/2026, 10:47:29 PM243 trades$1,01888 min
5/4/2026, 11:21:34 PM174 trades$999101 min
3/29/2026, 11:15:58 PM490 trades$990289 min
5/3/2026, 12:36:12 PM95 trades$98986 min
4/24/2026, 5:15:20 AM133 trades$98652 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-18
04-02
05-07
06-08
06-26
07-15
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.46/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.9 / M26.1 / H28.9