OptionallityCrush

@OptionallityCrush

#3,072,69633

0xfecb4ea0fe370705d0229aaf81c4300fa5ba19ba

~162d· 703 markets · 4790 tradesVol: $4,632,9122026-08-04 19:48:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (444/703)16.6/20
0.85x (win $628,553 / loss $737,732)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3690/15
Sortino -1.5930/10
$-0.0617 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 69 (703 markets)10/10
86/162 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 314% of peak ($160,305 / $51,125)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 63%
DCA Master
Avg 7.0 entries/market
Whale
$1,769,345 invested
High Roller
$5,012/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,885,005$-83,945Vol: $4,277,111
CRYPTO#1,661,629$-3,366Vol: $14,200
🏛️ POLITICS#55,794$130Vol: $2,201
🎭 CULTURE#35,724$38Vol: $1,067

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-65,630
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,632,912
Total Redeem
$30,037
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
703
total markets
Trades
3363B / 1427S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~162d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
444W / 259L events
Realized PnL
$-65,630
Win Rate
63%
444W / 259L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$1,416
Avg Loss
$-2,859

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $118,740 (1.8092321025772926% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals$53,856
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics$37,203
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)$27,681
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays$19,653
Seahawks vs. Cardinals$18,107
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics$12,344
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies$11,772
Clippers vs. Suns$11,101
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays$11,077
Nationals vs. Cubs$10,294

Top Losers

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians$-56,049
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$-43,045
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-28,169
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilar$-26,107
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?$-23,624
Pacers vs. Knicks$-22,491
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)$-20,336
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants$-19,922
Nationals vs. Braves$-19,024
Oilers vs. Ducks$-19,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.071
Sortino
-0.067
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.061
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
8.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.6
Active
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
45.8m
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 38s — normal for humanCV 3.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active2.0 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.04
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.6%
Mid (20-55c)43.4%
High (>55c)53%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 10:38:57 PM40 trades$61,2002 min
6/22/2026, 4:40:56 PM2 trades$50,0000 min
6/22/2026, 4:52:26 PM41 trades$38,2881 min
6/10/2026, 11:01:31 PM28 trades$33,6151 min
6/10/2026, 2:04:19 AM2 trades$30,5000 min
4/26/2026, 4:17:30 PM19 trades$28,8750 min
7/18/2026, 5:01:49 PM17 trades$24,37510 min
6/15/2026, 9:00:54 PM2 trades$22,5240 min
2/10/2026, 11:27:03 PM1 trades$22,4910 min
9/25/2025, 6:36:56 PM1 trades$21,7020 min
4/27/2026, 6:29:54 AM37 trades$21,02623 min
7/18/2026, 3:07:34 PM21 trades$20,4562 min
3/26/2026, 2:28:17 AM10 trades$20,3360 min
6/10/2026, 7:45:10 PM24 trades$20,1873 min
4/28/2026, 3:27:32 AM16 trades$20,0540 min
9/5/2025, 4:04:02 PM1 trades$19,9820 min
6/8/2026, 10:09:13 PM14 trades$19,6530 min
9/23/2025, 1:07:56 AM2 trades$19,1371 min
6/15/2026, 8:38:00 PM24 trades$18,6760 min
9/23/2025, 1:16:46 AM31 trades$18,30720 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-31
09-20
10-29
01-03
03-15
05-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 119 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.6 / M43.4 / H53