@OrangeApple
#3,033,479160xd6f4aefc31ef1f9da0bd52ca00c8a57244c3ef6a
~225d· 526 markets · 2009 tradesVol: $448,7032026-08-05 00:10:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (196/515)4/20
0.81x (win $25,558 / loss $31,470)0.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6570/15
Sortino -2.1580/10
$-0.1062 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 292 (515 markets)10/10
72/194 profitable days (37%)1.8/10
Max DD 1184% of peak ($6,458 / $545)0/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20
Whale
$55,670 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9⚽ SPORTS#1,869,752$-4,209Vol: $302,858
🏛️ POLITICS#1,619,128$-1,261Vol: $66,778
🎭 CULTURE#3,670$1,586Vol: $31,405
📈 ECONOMICS#670,279$-232Vol: $30,059
💰 FINANCE#5,999$590Vol: $8,082
💻 TECH#254,120$-256Vol: $1,882
₿ CRYPTO#121,654$56Vol: $1,033
📢 MENTIONS#107,639$-4Vol: $120
🌤️ WEATHER#266,025$-26Vol: $100
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,791
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$448,703
Total Redeem
$5
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
526
total markets
Trades
1559B / 450S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~225d
Periods
#2Today
$8
Vol: $0
Week
$-13
Vol: $886
Month
$99
Vol: $923
All Time
$-3,791
Vol: $448,703
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
196W / 319L events
Realized PnL
$-3,791
Win Rate
38%
196W / 319L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$130
Avg Loss
$-102
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,397 (0.8961351064026232% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$1,216
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$1,195
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Manager in 2025?$986
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$982
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$889
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$759
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?$647
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?$524
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$520
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$497
Top Losers
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-1,696
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-1,371
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,042
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score$-991
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-800
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?$-632
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?$-630
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-580
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?$-518
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?$-510
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.086
Sortino
-0.106
HHI
303
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.103
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.1%
Top-5 markets
28.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 182s — normal for humanCV 2.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.17
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)54.8%
Mid (20-55c)26.7%
High (>55c)18.4%
Sessions
#126/26/2026, 2:42:46 PM16 trades$3,3683 min
5/16/2026, 2:32:10 PM13 trades$3,1234 min
6/26/2026, 7:47:10 PM14 trades$3,00311 min
6/28/2026, 12:29:50 AM4 trades$2,7280 min
7/6/2026, 2:15:28 AM10 trades$2,5130 min
6/2/2026, 9:37:46 PM2 trades$2,2400 min
6/10/2026, 5:07:57 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
7/8/2026, 9:02:59 AM5 trades$1,8301 min
6/23/2026, 4:34:56 PM2 trades$1,6670 min
12/7/2025, 7:32:07 PM10 trades$1,59410 min
1/21/2026, 7:54:16 PM8 trades$1,47913 min
7/31/2026, 6:42:06 PM6 trades$1,4291 min
6/16/2026, 5:51:26 PM8 trades$1,3223 min
5/18/2026, 6:45:08 PM9 trades$1,3011 min
6/26/2026, 2:34:32 PM14 trades$1,1813 min
6/24/2026, 11:00:05 PM4 trades$1,1181 min
4/29/2026, 6:35:08 PM8 trades$1,0574 min
12/7/2025, 7:48:59 PM5 trades$1,0272 min
2/24/2026, 9:19:22 PM2 trades$9320 min
5/16/2026, 1:39:43 PM2 trades$9090 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-01
09-17
11-18
01-31
03-12
05-11
07-10
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 92 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.17/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.8 / M26.7 / H18.4