@Orfeux

#3,002,33920

0x81bee3fe9910dee63411a4020dd574152da143e6

~37d· 47 markets · 390 tradesVol: $59,2472026-08-04 22:41:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (21/47)7.3/20
0.51x (win $5,494 / loss $10,852)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1090/15
Sortino -3.2240/10
$-0.2626 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 806 (47 markets)8.5/10
14/29 profitable days (48%)4.6/10
Max DD 312% of peak ($7,885 / $2,527)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#1,855,940$-2,124Vol: $57,892
₿ CRYPTO#395,051$1Vol: $1,061

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,161
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$59,247
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
167B / 223S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
21W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-2,161
Win Rate
45%
21W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$262
Avg Loss
$-434

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,044 (1.4085599511283065% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,373
Knicks vs. Spurs$1,040
Spurs vs. Knicks$631
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$630
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5$346
Knicks vs. Spurs$305
Knicks vs. Spurs$225
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?$196
Will Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$156
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$101

Top Losers

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,255
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-1,253
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-1,001
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers $-1,000
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5$-398
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-347
Spurs vs. Knicks$-320
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-296
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5$-278
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5$-155

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.160
Sortino
-0.127
HHI
1531
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.204
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.8%
Top-5 markets
67.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
24.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
63%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1478s — normal for humanCV 2.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)63% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity5 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.77
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.8%
Mid (20-55c)44.9%
High (>55c)41.3%

Sessions

#12
5/5/2026, 3:58:06 AM3 trades$6,8690 min
7/6/2026, 12:31:38 AM9 trades$2,7840 min
7/14/2026, 9:44:01 PM2 trades$2,1590 min
7/4/2026, 3:57:07 AM2 trades$1,9230 min
6/29/2026, 5:55:43 PM1 trades$1,5010 min
5/3/2026, 4:13:52 PM2 trades$1,4640 min
7/4/2026, 12:58:13 AM2 trades$1,4370 min
7/5/2026, 11:03:37 PM4 trades$1,2520 min
7/7/2026, 11:45:49 AM5 trades$1,1840 min
7/7/2026, 12:39:04 AM18 trades$9980 min
7/4/2026, 12:46:16 AM8 trades$9970 min
7/3/2026, 1:51:35 AM2 trades$7780 min
6/14/2026, 3:19:01 AM9 trades$7383 min
5/3/2026, 3:20:28 PM8 trades$7330 min
7/7/2026, 5:24:16 PM4 trades$7100 min
7/3/2026, 8:57:08 PM1 trades$6980 min
7/24/2026, 2:50:51 AM26 trades$6745 min
7/24/2026, 2:40:07 AM12 trades$4760 min
7/14/2026, 9:15:29 PM12 trades$4210 min
7/5/2026, 4:21:07 PM2 trades$3410 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-01
05-11
06-04
06-09
06-14
07-01
07-06
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.8 / M44.9 / H41.3