@OutcomeUnclear
#14,241500xaee155cfcdbea58f38ae6dea1475a0198f443cea
~180d· 225 markets · 2941 tradesVol: $367,8312026-08-04 18:34:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
50
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
71% (147/206)20/20
1.05x (win $39,372 / loss $37,436)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2314.3/15
Sortino 0.2792.8/10
$+0.0102 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 235 (206 markets)10/10
80/118 profitable days (68%)9.4/10
Max DD 248% of peak ($13,682 / $5,520)0/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+10,409
DCA Master
Avg 16.2 entries/market
Whale
$189,204 invested
Consistent
80/118 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#3,228$12,210Vol: $250,775
📈 ECONOMICS#4,569$527Vol: $34,151
₿ CRYPTO#36,348$713Vol: $33,112
🎭 CULTURE#35,284$38Vol: $23,965
⚽ SPORTS#1,865,931$-3,325Vol: $20,683
💰 FINANCE#14,806$146Vol: $3,807
💻 TECH#8,024$57Vol: $782
📢 MENTIONS#124,679$-8Vol: $557
Overview
#1Net PnL
$10,359
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$367,831
Total Redeem
$578
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
225
total markets
Trades
1736B / 1205S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~180d
Periods
#2Today
$65
Vol: $0
Week
$-408
Vol: $1,500
Month
$541
Vol: $7,202
All Time
$10,359
Vol: $367,831
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
71%
147W / 59L events
Realized PnL
$10,409
Win Rate
71%
147W / 59L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$268
Avg Loss
$-645
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,895 (0.9505916417927653% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$3,864
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3,471
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2,560
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2,344
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2,298
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1,825
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,730
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,642
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$1,265
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$1,237
Top Losers
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$-9,050
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-5,839
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-3,291
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-3,138
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-2,888
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-1,253
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,168
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?$-1,089
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-994
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-960
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.012
Sortino
0.009
HHI
391
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.3%
Top-5 markets
34.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
9.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.8
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 180s — normal for humanCV 1.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
16.24
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6.3%
Mid (20-55c)16.2%
High (>55c)77.4%
Sessions
#127/2/2026, 1:05:08 PM34 trades$4,2817 min
6/1/2026, 6:23:44 PM2 trades$3,9960 min
8/1/2026, 7:24:15 PM2 trades$3,9930 min
4/8/2026, 7:49:05 AM2 trades$3,8330 min
4/16/2026, 8:45:52 PM40 trades$3,32426 min
4/7/2026, 2:37:13 PM6 trades$3,1260 min
4/21/2026, 6:53:32 PM4 trades$3,0042 min
6/17/2026, 11:54:02 PM20 trades$2,78014 min
6/1/2026, 2:44:43 PM33 trades$2,55513 min
6/7/2026, 6:33:40 PM20 trades$2,5035 min
4/23/2026, 6:59:40 PM4 trades$2,4943 min
7/6/2026, 9:23:53 PM7 trades$2,40810 min
6/15/2026, 12:18:36 AM6 trades$2,3841 min
6/17/2026, 11:34:59 PM4 trades$2,3816 min
6/11/2026, 2:28:30 PM2 trades$2,3120 min
7/2/2026, 1:17:13 PM20 trades$2,24212 min
5/6/2026, 10:23:18 AM7 trades$2,2027 min
6/21/2026, 12:03:17 PM3 trades$2,2000 min
4/15/2026, 10:23:48 PM28 trades$2,1004 min
3/11/2026, 11:21:41 AM7 trades$2,06610 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-08
12-30
02-11
03-10
04-28
06-15
07-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 58 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.3 / M16.2 / H77.4