@OutrageousKev

#143,60719

0x196c0885496588aab271f7cf041d221fc5ffdf7a

~76d· 236 markets · 600 tradesVol: $50,4382026-08-04 22:54:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (82/230)2.8/20
0.93x (win $4,019 / loss $4,317)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4680/15
Sortino -0.5830/10
$-0.0499 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 472 (230 markets)10/10
32/68 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 125% of peak ($1,595 / $1,280)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+309
Contrarian
78% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
SPORTS#59,026$461Vol: $48,961
CRYPTO#1,482,117$-109Vol: $1,143
🏛️ POLITICS#1,369,183$-19Vol: $190
💰 FINANCE#601,658$-24Vol: $144

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$309
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,438
Total Redeem
$62
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
236
total markets
Trades
352B / 248S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~76d

Periods

#2
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$309
Vol: $50,438

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
82W / 148L events
Realized PnL
$309
Win Rate
36%
82W / 148L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$49
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,727 (5.585603364606923% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$1,032
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$467
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$228
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$183
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$180
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$120
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$113
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$108
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$98
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$82

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,049
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-571
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$-160
Men's Final - Canada vs. USA$-125
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-88
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-77
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$-71
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$-60
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$-60
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$-52

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.024
Sortino
-0.023
HHI
1180
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.040
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.2%
Top-5 markets
65.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 114s — normal for humanCV 2.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.84
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29%
Mid (20-55c)48.9%
High (>55c)22.2%

Sessions

#12
4/23/2026, 7:17:08 PM11 trades$7775 min
6/7/2026, 12:45:33 PM19 trades$7546 min
6/6/2026, 10:50:40 AM23 trades$66710 min
7/7/2026, 6:15:08 PM4 trades$5930 min
7/5/2026, 9:58:53 PM4 trades$5630 min
7/16/2026, 1:51:31 PM2 trades$5000 min
6/15/2026, 11:36:21 PM22 trades$4924 min
6/7/2026, 3:23:01 PM1 trades$4630 min
6/12/2026, 10:28:36 AM4 trades$3382 min
5/8/2026, 4:25:02 AM12 trades$2924 min
5/22/2026, 4:31:47 PM11 trades$2911 min
6/17/2026, 8:45:19 AM12 trades$2522 min
5/12/2026, 8:10:42 PM9 trades$2500 min
4/18/2026, 10:07:26 PM2 trades$2440 min
6/7/2026, 4:50:22 PM2 trades$2200 min
6/12/2026, 4:55:07 PM2 trades$2000 min
7/11/2026, 4:44:04 PM3 trades$2000 min
6/1/2026, 12:06:42 PM4 trades$1960 min
6/19/2026, 11:27:14 PM10 trades$1861 min
7/14/2026, 8:19:34 PM3 trades$1761 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-04
03-19
04-24
05-08
06-12
06-26
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 31 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.84/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L29 / M48.9 / H22.2