@Overlord36912

#3,043,41647

0x8bd82332873dfc8a80bd5c14b5051b8500f212df

~72d· 86 markets · 467 tradesVol: $268,1322026-08-03 20:30:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (60/76)20/20
1.03x (win $15,271 / loss $14,796)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1372.6/15
Sortino 0.1621.6/10
$+0.0036 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 440 (76 markets)10/10
37/49 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 195% of peak ($9,885 / $5,073)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Whale
$130,991 invested
Consistent
37/49 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,633,715$-4,072Vol: $213,371
SPORTS#1,849,104$-1,755Vol: $42,812
🎭 CULTURE#13,198$219Vol: $5,993
📈 ECONOMICS#6,463$302Vol: $5,721
CRYPTO#261,129$7Vol: $227
💻 TECH#115,173$0Vol: $8

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,299
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$268,132
Total Redeem
$4,284
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
86
total markets
Trades
170B / 297S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~72d

Periods

#2
Today
$-17
Vol: $0
Week
$-17
Vol: $0
Month
$-3,395
Vol: $31,692
All Time
$-5,299
Vol: $268,132

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
60W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-5,299
Win Rate
79%
60W / 16L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$255
Avg Loss
$-1,057

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,155 (1.1615681789443686% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,792
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$2,303
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1,060
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$886
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$794
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$772
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$539
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$501
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$493
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$457

Top Losers

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-5,580
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-5,578
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$-1,033
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-595
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$-521
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$-500
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?$-500
Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$-100
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$-100
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-96

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.007
Sortino
0.004
HHI
251
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
4.8%
Half-Kelly
2.4%
Top-1 market
9.8%
Top-5 markets
25.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 808s — normal for humanCV 1.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.39
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.5%
Mid (20-55c)10%
High (>55c)86.5%

Sessions

#12
4/12/2026, 7:53:47 PM4 trades$17,3631 min
4/14/2026, 2:27:55 PM12 trades$10,2550 min
4/13/2026, 4:18:23 AM15 trades$9,3820 min
4/12/2026, 4:59:27 AM16 trades$7,1360 min
8/1/2026, 8:48:51 PM34 trades$6,3422 min
6/3/2026, 2:44:40 AM19 trades$5,4540 min
4/22/2026, 12:23:00 PM4 trades$5,4321 min
2/24/2026, 4:07:58 PM1 trades$5,0870 min
3/5/2026, 12:36:19 AM1 trades$4,0000 min
6/1/2026, 7:10:25 AM5 trades$3,9740 min
5/16/2026, 9:27:46 PM14 trades$3,8861 min
5/7/2026, 9:19:40 PM10 trades$3,8250 min
3/1/2026, 3:31:27 PM2 trades$3,5904 min
6/19/2026, 8:18:14 PM5 trades$3,3651 min
6/11/2026, 5:19:40 AM5 trades$3,2800 min
2/28/2026, 3:40:23 PM2 trades$3,1080 min
4/5/2026, 5:21:49 PM20 trades$3,0060 min
11/5/2025, 9:55:59 PM1 trades$3,0000 min
2/28/2026, 11:19:11 PM1 trades$3,0000 min
3/3/2026, 9:49:51 PM1 trades$3,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-03
10-28
02-01
03-04
04-12
05-22
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.5 / M10 / H86.5