@Oxarf

#2,531,31731

0xa82b7aac5aed19efbcde1cbf2f862b668c75f016

~54d· 995 markets · 2683 tradesVol: $15,7922026-08-05 02:23:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (604/989)15.5/20
0.92x (win $1,240 / loss $1,353)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7490/15
Sortino -2.1150/10
$-0.0268 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 168 (989 markets)10/10
25/53 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 381% of peak ($282 / $74)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,639,957$-72Vol: $8,638
CRYPTO#1,060,337$-6Vol: $5,525
🌤️ WEATHER#259,439$-19Vol: $1,629

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-96
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,792
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
995
total markets
Trades
1306B / 1377S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $145
Week
$14
Vol: $1,888
Month
$-36
Vol: $2,475
All Time
$-96
Vol: $15,792

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
603W / 383L events
Realized PnL
$-96
Win Rate
61%
603W / 383L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $92 (0.9549005311946672% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$53
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?$22
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$16
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5$15
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?$13
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$12
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5$11
CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to Score$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$9

Top Losers

Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5$-40
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)$-30
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-24
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)$-12
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-01?$-12
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-12
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5$-12
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5$-12
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-12
Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: Both Teams to Score$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.091
Sortino
-0.102
HHI
15
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.7%
Top-5 markets
2.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
32.7
Active
Markets / Day
12.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.1m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.3

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 556s — normal for humanCV 0.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock33 trades/day — high frequency12 markets/day — mass coverage49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.76
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.5%
Mid (20-55c)22.1%
High (>55c)75.3%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 1:04:08 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/20/2026, 4:29:50 PM10 trades$4394 min
6/13/2026, 9:40:07 AM15 trades$4046 min
6/14/2026, 10:02:00 AM31 trades$30313 min
6/20/2026, 4:18:08 PM15 trades$1357 min
6/29/2026, 2:54:11 AM8 trades$1160 min
6/18/2026, 9:04:22 PM18 trades$1111 min
5/16/2026, 7:07:46 PM64 trades$1025 min
6/28/2026, 1:34:49 PM3 trades$1000 min
6/18/2026, 7:31:35 PM28 trades$7815 min
5/17/2026, 12:02:35 PM36 trades$608 min
8/3/2026, 11:22:29 PM10 trades$545 min
6/6/2026, 4:33:06 PM16 trades$544 min
6/5/2026, 8:09:57 PM14 trades$493 min
6/6/2026, 5:59:46 PM16 trades$4817 min
5/17/2026, 1:39:30 PM27 trades$463 min
6/15/2026, 11:53:58 PM10 trades$460 min
6/5/2026, 4:37:00 PM12 trades$445 min
6/18/2026, 9:15:28 PM21 trades$438 min
6/15/2026, 9:41:39 AM34 trades$4218 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-16
05-25
06-12
06-20
06-29
07-24
08-01
08-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.76/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.5 / M22.1 / H75.3