@Oxr8i91c1Dd
#2,849,701180x89cdd8a35d8ec565f5e849689e8b9e22fec148a5
~32d· 51 markets · 211 tradesVol: $13,2662026-08-06 15:53:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (20/36)12.8/20
0.20x (win $492 / loss $2,494)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.4660/15
Sortino -4.3760/10
$-0.8879 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3755 (36 markets)0/10
8/16 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 739% of peak ($2,382 / $322)0/10
Badges
2DCA Master
Avg 5.1 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#48,571$171Vol: $7,882
⚽ SPORTS#1,820,724$-833Vol: $3,418
💰 FINANCE#12,961$189Vol: $1,674
📈 ECONOMICS#41,460$10Vol: $209
💻 TECH#240,997$-32Vol: $82
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-495
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,266
Total Redeem
$73
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
113B / 98S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $173
Week
$0
Vol: $173
Month
$11
Vol: $173
All Time
$-495
Vol: $13,266
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
20W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-495
Win Rate
56%
20W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-227
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $339 (0.6847435016372235% of PnL)
Top Winners
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$212
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$64
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $310–325 in 2025?$63
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$34
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$7
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1
Top Losers
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,175
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-104
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?$-102
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$-79
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$-18
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-5
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$-3
Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $250M?$-2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-2
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.226
Sortino
-0.155
HHI
4764
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.707
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
65.7%
Top-5 markets
102.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 78s — normal for humanCV 1.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.14
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14.2%
Mid (20-55c)26.5%
High (>55c)59.3%
Sessions
#127/14/2026, 2:30:58 PM18 trades$8226 min
7/19/2026, 5:37:04 PM17 trades$8153 min
7/19/2026, 5:47:06 PM4 trades$6441 min
2/28/2026, 7:41:39 PM1 trades$3620 min
7/15/2026, 2:16:43 PM13 trades$3104 min
7/15/2026, 2:02:04 PM4 trades$2150 min
7/11/2026, 1:04:02 PM9 trades$2042 min
7/8/2026, 11:19:34 AM6 trades$1683 min
2/28/2026, 2:49:01 PM1 trades$1500 min
5/27/2026, 12:24:59 PM9 trades$1263 min
6/4/2026, 1:06:07 PM9 trades$1043 min
7/17/2026, 4:06:51 PM8 trades$1011 min
8/6/2026, 1:48:12 PM2 trades$740 min
6/3/2026, 9:08:30 AM2 trades$680 min
6/11/2026, 10:47:10 AM2 trades$590 min
6/4/2026, 1:23:46 PM2 trades$550 min
5/25/2026, 1:51:08 PM2 trades$501 min
6/20/2026, 7:58:49 AM7 trades$422 min
5/13/2026, 2:24:39 PM2 trades$420 min
5/13/2026, 10:48:54 AM8 trades$394 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-02
01-28
02-28
03-29
05-13
06-02
06-11
07-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 76 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.2 / M26.5 / H59.3